CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over CHA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

CHA

Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares

55
Fundamentals34/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

CHA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

CHA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

CHA's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

CHA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$12.34-8.7%
Current13x$13.51—
Fair15x$15.92+18%
Expensive16x$16.95+25%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CHA has the edge over CELH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CELH, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CHA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CHA, with profitability improving.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CHA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CHA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$18.88
Downside-28%$9.72

Calculated from the latest close: $13.51 on Nov 12.

CHA trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

CHA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.39Q4 2023: $0.65Q1 2024: $1.08Q2 2024: $1.46Q3 2024: $1.73Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.64Q3 2025: $1.43Q4 2025: $0.91Q1 2026: $0.73Q2 2026: $1.04
Q3 2023: $0.39Q4 2023: $0.65Q1 2024: $1.08Q2 2024: $1.46Q3 2024: $1.73Q4 2024: $2.01Q1 2025: $2.08Q2 2025: $1.64Q3 2025: $1.43Q4 2025: $0.91Q1 2026: $0.73Q2 2026: $1.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.04-37%
Q1 2026$0.73-65%
Q4 2025$0.91-55%
Q3 2025$1.43-17%
Q2 2025$1.64+12%
Q1 2025$2.08+93%
Q4 2024$2.01+209%
Q3 2024$1.73+344%

CHA has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH has the edge over CHA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CHA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $217MQ4 2023: $307MQ1 2024: $376MQ2 2024: $454MQ3 2024: $531MQ4 2024: $500MQ1 2025: $509MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $481MQ4 2025: $446MQ1 2026: $532MQ2 2026: $511M
Q3 2023: $217MQ4 2023: $307MQ1 2024: $376MQ2 2024: $454MQ3 2024: $531MQ4 2024: $500MQ1 2025: $509MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $481MQ4 2025: $446MQ1 2026: $532MQ2 2026: $511M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$511M+2.2%
Q1 2026$532.2M+4.5%
Q4 2025$446.4M-11%
Q3 2025$481.5M-9.4%
Q2 2025$500M+10%
Q1 2025$509.1M+35%
Q4 2024$500.4M+63%
Q3 2024$531.4M+145%

CHA's revenue has held roughly level: $511M last quarter, up 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH has the edge over CHA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CHA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $114MQ4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $59MQ4 2025: −$35MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $54M
Q3 2023: $114MQ4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $139MQ3 2024: $98MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $47MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $59MQ4 2025: −$35MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $54M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$53.8M-32%
Q1 2026$29M-38%
Q4 2025-$35.4M-145%
Q3 2025$58.7M-40%
Q2 2025$79.1M-43%
Q1 2025$46.6M-37%
Q4 2024$79.2M-23%
Q3 2024$98.1M-14%

CHA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $106M over the past year.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over CHA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CHA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 184MQ4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 184MQ4 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 184MQ2 2025: 184MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 193MQ1 2026: 192MQ2 2026: 193M
Q3 2023: 184MQ4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 184MQ4 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 184MQ2 2025: 184MQ3 2025: 194MQ4 2025: 193MQ1 2026: 192MQ2 2026: 193M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+876K shares
1 year+5.2%+9.5M shares
3 years+5.2%+9.5M shares

CHA has 193M diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has more cash than debt.

CHA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.9xQ4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -3.9xQ1 2026: -4.3xQ2 2026: -3.1x
Q3 2023: -1.9xQ4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -3.9xQ1 2026: -4.3xQ2 2026: -3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.4xNet Cash

CHA has the edge over CELH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

CHA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.4Neutral
Stochastic79.9Neutral

CHA's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

CHA PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCHASector medianRelative
PE13x19x33% below
PE %29312 pts below

CHA has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CHA has stronger trend alignment. CELH is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus CHA above 3 of 3.

CHA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.012% above
20 week MA$11.517% above
50 week MA$11.418% above

CHA is in an uptrend: it's above all three of its weekly moving averages, and 18% above its 50-week average.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

CHA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$32.4$11.9-63%
2026 YTD$11.9$13.5+14%

CHA has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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