CEG

Constellation Energy Corporation

69
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

CEG's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 23x earnings, below its usual 32x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

CEG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Stable

CEG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

CEG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current23x$282—
Forward23x$282—
Cheap24x$294+4%
Fair32x$395+40%
Expensive41x$513+82%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CEG's PE is in its cheap range at 22.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 22.9x.

CEG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CEG, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CEG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$410.09
Downside-25%$211.69

Calculated from the latest close: $282.40 on Nov 12.

CEG's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +45% against −25%.

CEG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.01Q1 2024: $7.50Q2 2024: $7.52Q3 2024: $9.08Q4 2024: $11.89Q1 2025: $9.49Q2 2025: $9.58Q3 2025: $8.73Q4 2025: $7.40Q1 2026: $11.51Q2 2026: $10.26Q3 2026: $12.48Forward: $12.36
Q4 2023: $5.01Q1 2024: $7.50Q2 2024: $7.52Q3 2024: $9.08Q4 2024: $11.89Q1 2025: $9.49Q2 2025: $9.58Q3 2025: $8.73Q4 2025: $7.40Q1 2026: $11.51Q2 2026: $10.26Q3 2026: $12.48Forward: $12.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.36-1%
Q3 2026$12.48+43%
Q2 2026$10.26+7.1%
Q1 2026$11.51+21%
Q4 2025$7.40-38%
Q3 2025$8.73-3.9%
Q2 2025$9.58+27%
Q1 2025$9.49+27%
Q4 2024$11.89+137%

CEG earned $12.48 per share over the past year, up 43% from the year before.

CEG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.8BQ1 2024: $6.2BQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $6.5BQ4 2024: $5.4BQ1 2025: $6.8BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $6.6BQ4 2025: $6.1BQ1 2026: $11.1BQ2 2026: $7.5BQ3 2026: $9.6B
Q4 2023: $5.8BQ1 2024: $6.2BQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $6.5BQ4 2024: $5.4BQ1 2025: $6.8BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $6.6BQ4 2025: $6.1BQ1 2026: $11.1BQ2 2026: $7.5BQ3 2026: $9.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.6B+45%
Q2 2026$7.5B+23%
Q1 2026$11.1B+64%
Q4 2025$6.1B+13%
Q3 2025$6.6B+0.3%
Q2 2025$6.1B+11%
Q1 2025$6.8B+10%
Q4 2024$5.4B-7.1%

CEG's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $9.6B last quarter, up 45% from the same quarter a year ago.

CEG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3.9BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1.2BQ3 2024: −$664MQ4 2024: −$1.7BQ1 2025: −$699MQ2 2025: $710MQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: −$181MQ1 2026: −$850MQ2 2026: −$118MQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: −$3.9BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1.2BQ3 2024: −$664MQ4 2024: −$1.7BQ1 2025: −$699MQ2 2025: $710MQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: −$181MQ1 2026: −$850MQ2 2026: −$118MQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+71%
Q2 2026-$118M-117%
Q1 2026-$850M-$151M
Q4 2025-$181M+$1.6B
Q3 2025$1.5B+$2.1B
Q2 2025$710M+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$699M+$762M
Q4 2024-$1.7B+$2.1B

CEG's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $1.3B over the past year.

CEG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 324MQ1 2024: 318MQ2 2024: 316MQ3 2024: 314MQ4 2024: 315MQ1 2025: 314MQ2 2025: 314MQ3 2025: 313MQ4 2025: 314MQ1 2026: 354MQ2 2026: 360MQ3 2026: 354M
Q4 2023: 324MQ1 2024: 318MQ2 2024: 316MQ3 2024: 314MQ4 2024: 315MQ1 2025: 314MQ2 2025: 314MQ3 2025: 313MQ4 2025: 314MQ1 2026: 354MQ2 2026: 360MQ3 2026: 354M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-6M shares
1 year+13%+41M shares
3 years+9.6%+31M shares
5 years+8.5%+27.7M shares
Available history+8.4%+27.3M shares

CEG has 354M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

CEG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 2.4x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.4xModerate
Q2 20262.9xModerate
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

CEG's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

CEG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.8Neutral
Stochastic37.7Neutral

CEG's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

CEG PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricCEGSector medianRelative
PE23x20x11% above
PE %115746 pts below

CEG is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% premium to the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

CEG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$267.35.6% above
20 week MA$268.05.4% above
50 week MA$288.62.1% below
100 week MA$293.33.7% below
200 week MA$220.528% above

CEG's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 28% above its 200-week average.

CEG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$46.8$88.0+88%
2023$88.0$116.9+33%
2024$116.9$226.5+94%
2025$226.5$360.5+59%
2026 YTD$360.5$282.4-22%

CEG has finished every year since 2022 higher, and it's down 22% so far in 2026.

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