CDXS

Codexis, Inc.

46
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

CDXS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over CDXS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

CDXS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

CDXS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CDXS PE Valuation

CDXS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CDXS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CDXS's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over CDXS on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

CDXS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+75%$1.68
Downside-43%$0.55

Calculated from the latest close: $0.96 on Nov 12.

CDXS trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CDXS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CDXS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.12Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-1.09Q3 2024: $-0.88Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-0.98Q2 2025: $-0.82Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.32Q3 2026: $-0.18
Q4 2023: $-1.12Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-1.09Q3 2024: $-0.88Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-0.98Q2 2025: $-0.82Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.32Q3 2026: $-0.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.18+$0.57
Q2 2026-$0.32+$0.50
Q1 2026-$0.35+$0.63
Q4 2025-$0.50+$0.39
Q3 2025-$0.75+$0.13
Q2 2025-$0.82+$0.27
Q1 2025-$0.98-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.89+$0.23

CDXS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.18 per share over the past year, against $1.20 at its worst in late 2023.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over CDXS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CDXS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $19M
Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $19M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.3M+124%
Q2 2026$14.9M-2.7%
Q1 2026$15.2M+102%
Q4 2025$38.9M+81%
Q3 2025$8.6M-33%
Q2 2025$15.3M+92%
Q1 2025$7.5M-56%
Q4 2024$21.5M-19%

CDXS's revenue is growing: $19M last quarter, up 124% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over CDXS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CDXS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: −$18MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: −$20MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: −$8M
Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: −$9MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: −$18MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: −$20MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: −$11MQ3 2026: −$8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.8M+$40K
Q2 2026-$10.5M+$9.9M
Q1 2026-$13.3M+$1.7M
Q4 2025$19.6M+$37.8M
Q3 2025-$7.9M+$6.1M
Q2 2025-$20.5M-$7.9M
Q1 2025-$15.1M-$6.1M
Q4 2024-$18.2M-$7.6M

CDXS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$12M over the past year, against −$62M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over CDXS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CDXS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 107M
Q4 2023: 68MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 70MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 73MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 107M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+18%+16.2M shares
1 year+19%+17M shares
3 years+54%+37.8M shares
5 years+58%+39.5M shares
Available history+90%+50.7M shares

CDXS has 107M diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over CDXS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CDXS Net Leverage

CDXS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

CDXS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.5Neutral
Stochastic7.2Oversold

CDXS's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

CDXS PE vs Healthcare Sector

CDXS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

CDXS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.2322% below
20 week MA$1.5237% below
50 week MA$1.7645% below
100 week MA$2.3559% below
200 week MA$2.7966% below

CDXS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 66% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over CDXS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CDXS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.1$22.7+33%
2021$22.7$33.4+47%
2022$33.4$4.43-87%
2023$4.43$3.05-31%
2024$3.05$4.99+64%
2025$4.99$1.63-67%
2026 YTD$1.63$0.96-41%

CDXS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 41% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over CDXS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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