CDNL

Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

65
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

CDNL has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CDNL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

CDNL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CDNL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward2.4x$5.64—
Current4.6x$5.64—
Cheap17x$20.70+267%
Fair33x$41.09+629%
Expensive46x$57.51+920%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CDNL's PE is 4.5x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CDNL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CDNL, with profitability holding steady.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over CDNL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

CDNL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+108%$11.71
Downside-51%$2.76

Calculated from the latest close: $5.64 on Nov 12.

CDNL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails CDNL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CDNL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $0.66Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.15Q4 2025: $1.65Q1 2026: $1.47Q2 2026: $1.19Q3 2026: $1.24Forward: $2.33
Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $0.66Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.15Q4 2025: $1.65Q1 2026: $1.47Q2 2026: $1.19Q3 2026: $1.24Forward: $2.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.33+88%
Q3 2026$1.24+727%
Q2 2026$1.19+70%
Q1 2026$1.47+123%
Q4 2025$1.65+120%

CDNL has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

CDNL Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $85MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $122MQ4 2025: $146MQ1 2026: $168MQ2 2026: $227MQ3 2026: $202M
Q1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $85MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $122MQ4 2025: $146MQ1 2026: $168MQ2 2026: $227MQ3 2026: $202M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9M+65%
Q2 2026$226.9M+114%
Q1 2026$167.5M+105%
Q4 2025$145.8M+72%
Q3 2025$122.3M+60%
Q2 2025$106.1M+38%
Q1 2025$81.8M+6.3%

CDNL has the edge over RKLB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2021: $268M last quarter, up 73% from the same quarter a year ago.

CDNL Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $909,137Q4 2025: −$524,208Q1 2026: −$961Q2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: $738,632
Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $909,137Q4 2025: −$524,208Q1 2026: −$961Q2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: $738,632
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$738.6K-19%
Q2 2026-$12M-$4M
Q1 2026-$961-100%
Q4 2025-$524.2K-108%
Q3 2025$909.1K-95%

CDNL's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$12M over the past year.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has the edge over CDNL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CDNL Total Shares

Q1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 21M
Q1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-52%-22.5M shares
1 year+56%+7.4M shares

CDNL has 21M diluted shares, up 56% from a year ago.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has the edge over CDNL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CDNL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

CDNL has more cash than debt.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CDNL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.5Oversold
Stochastic2.9Oversold

CDNL's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

CDNL PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCDNLSector medianRelative
PE4.6x24x81% below
PE %022 pts below

CDNL is trading at 4.5x earnings, a 81% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CDNL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.069% below
20 week MA$38.585% below

RKLB has stronger trend alignment. CDNL is above 0 of 2 weekly averages versus RKLB above 3 of 5.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

CDNL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$29.7$23.6-20%
2026 YTD$23.6$5.64-76%

CDNL has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 76% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over CDNL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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