CDNL

Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

65
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

CDNL has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CDNL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

CDNL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CDNL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward2.4x$5.64—
Current4.6x$5.64—
Cheap17x$20.70+267%
Fair33x$41.09+629%
Expensive46x$57.51+920%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CDNL's PE is 4.5x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CDNL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CDNL, with profitability holding steady.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over CDNL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

CDNL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+108%$11.71
Downside-51%$2.76

Calculated from the latest close: $5.64 on Nov 12.

CDNL trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CDNL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CDNL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $0.66Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.15Q4 2025: $1.65Q1 2026: $1.47Q2 2026: $1.19Q3 2026: $1.24Forward: $2.33
Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $0.66Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.15Q4 2025: $1.65Q1 2026: $1.47Q2 2026: $1.19Q3 2026: $1.24Forward: $2.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.33+88%
Q3 2026$1.24+727%
Q2 2026$1.19+70%
Q1 2026$1.47+123%
Q4 2025$1.65+120%

CDNL has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

CDNL Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $85MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $122MQ4 2025: $146MQ1 2026: $168MQ2 2026: $227MQ3 2026: $202M
Q1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $85MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $106MQ3 2025: $122MQ4 2025: $146MQ1 2026: $168MQ2 2026: $227MQ3 2026: $202M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$201.9M+65%
Q2 2026$226.9M+114%
Q1 2026$167.5M+105%
Q4 2025$145.8M+72%
Q3 2025$122.3M+60%
Q2 2025$106.1M+38%
Q1 2025$81.8M+6.3%

CDNL has the edge over RDW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

CDNL Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $909,137Q4 2025: −$524,208Q1 2026: −$961Q2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: $738,632
Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: $909,137Q4 2025: −$524,208Q1 2026: −$961Q2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: $738,632
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$738.6K-19%
Q2 2026-$12M-$4M
Q1 2026-$961-100%
Q4 2025-$524.2K-108%
Q3 2025$909.1K-95%

CDNL's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$12M over the past year.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has the edge over CDNL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CDNL Total Shares

Q1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 21M
Q1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-52%-22.5M shares
1 year+56%+7.4M shares

CDNL has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

CDNL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

CDNL has more cash than debt.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CDNL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.5Oversold
Stochastic2.9Oversold

CDNL's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

CDNL PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCDNLSector medianRelative
PE4.6x24x81% below
PE %022 pts below

CDNL is trading at 4.5x earnings, a 81% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CDNL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.069% below
20 week MA$38.585% below

RDW has stronger trend alignment. CDNL is above 0 of 2 weekly averages versus RDW above 0 of 5.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

CDNL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$29.7$23.6-20%
2026 YTD$23.6$5.64-76%

CDNL has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 76% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over CDNL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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