CDLX

Cardlytics, Inc.

48
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

CDLX trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over CDLX overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

CDLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

CDLX's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

CDLX PE Valuation

CDLX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

CDLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CDLX's losses to shrink, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over CDLX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

CDLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$2.58
Downside-45%$0.79

Calculated from the latest close: $1.43 on Nov 12.

CDLX trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CDLX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CDLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-35.55Q1 2024: $-45.15Q2 2024: $-39.35Q3 2024: $-62.05Q4 2024: $-39.10Q1 2025: $-36.10Q2 2025: $-37.00Q3 2025: $-21.60Q4 2025: $-19.50Q1 2026: $-17.72Q2 2026: $-18.50Q3 2026: $-6.42
Q4 2023: $-35.55Q1 2024: $-45.15Q2 2024: $-39.35Q3 2024: $-62.05Q4 2024: $-39.10Q1 2025: $-36.10Q2 2025: $-37.00Q3 2025: $-21.60Q4 2025: $-19.50Q1 2026: $-17.72Q2 2026: $-18.50Q3 2026: $-6.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$6.42+$15.18
Q2 2026-$18.50+$18.50
Q1 2026-$17.72+$18.38
Q4 2025-$19.50+$19.60
Q3 2025-$21.60+$40.45
Q2 2025-$37.00+$2.35
Q1 2025-$36.10+$9.05
Q4 2024-$39.10-$3.55

CDLX is still losing money, but far less than before: $6.42 per share over the past year, against $145.30 at its worst in early 2023.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over CDLX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CDLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $70MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $37MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $70MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $37MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$32.9M-37%
Q2 2026$36.9M-42%
Q1 2026$34.3M-45%
Q4 2025$56.1M-24%
Q3 2025$52M-22%
Q2 2025$63.2M-9.2%
Q1 2025$61.9M-8.4%
Q4 2024$74M-17%

CDLX's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $33M last quarter, down 37% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over CDLX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CDLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $878,000Q4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $903,000Q3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $878,000Q4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $903,000Q3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.9M-439%
Q2 2026-$8.6M-1052%
Q1 2026-$5.7M+$1.2M
Q4 2025$13M+355%
Q3 2025$1.7M+99%
Q2 2025$903K-78%
Q1 2025-$6.8M+$11.4M
Q4 2024$2.9M+7.4%

CDLX's free cash flow was −$7M over the past year, against −$1M the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over CDLX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CDLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.5%+143K shares
1 year+10%+553K shares
3 years+55%+2.1M shares
5 years+116%+3.2M shares
Available history+149%+3.5M shares

CDLX has 6M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over CDLX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CDLX Net Leverage

CDLX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CDLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.0Oversold
Stochastic5.9Oversold

CDLX's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

CDLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

CDLX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

CDLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.1132% below
20 week MA$3.2556% below
50 week MA$6.6478% below
100 week MA$13.890% below
200 week MA$46.797% below

CDLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 97% below its 200-week average.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has the edge over CDLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CDLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$649.6$1,430.2+120%
2021$1,430.2$662.5-54%
2022$662.5$48.2-93%
2023$48.2$92.1+91%
2024$92.1$37.3-60%
2025$37.3$11.9-68%
2026 YTD$11.9$1.43-88%

CDLX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +120% in 2020 to −93% in 2022. It's down 88% so far in 2026.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over CDLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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