CCU

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A.

54
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

CCU has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over CCU overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

CCU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable

CCU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently stable.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

CCU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$8.21-24%
Fair17x$9.62-11%
Current20x$10.84—
Expensive21x$11.28+4%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CCU's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH has the edge over CCU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CCU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CCU, with profitability improving.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CELH, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CCU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$13.34
Downside-19%$8.83

Calculated from the latest close: $10.84 on Nov 12.

CCU trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CCU, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CCU Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.60Q4 2023: $0.58Q1 2024: $0.55Q2 2024: $0.60Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.88Q1 2025: $0.89Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.72Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.55
Q3 2023: $0.60Q4 2023: $0.58Q1 2024: $0.55Q2 2024: $0.60Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.88Q1 2025: $0.89Q2 2025: $0.80Q3 2025: $0.72Q4 2025: $0.61Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.55-31%
Q1 2026$0.60-33%
Q4 2025$0.61-31%
Q3 2025$0.72+1.4%
Q2 2025$0.80+33%
Q1 2025$0.89+62%
Q4 2024$0.88+52%
Q3 2024$0.71+18%

CCU has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

CCU Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $687MQ4 2023: $573MQ1 2024: $747MQ2 2024: $525MQ3 2024: $666MQ4 2024: $969MQ1 2025: $818MQ2 2025: $580MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $854MQ1 2026: $820MQ2 2026: $608M
Q3 2023: $687MQ4 2023: $573MQ1 2024: $747MQ2 2024: $525MQ3 2024: $666MQ4 2024: $969MQ1 2025: $818MQ2 2025: $580MQ3 2025: $659MQ4 2025: $854MQ1 2026: $820MQ2 2026: $608M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$608.4M+4.8%
Q1 2026$820.3M+0.2%
Q4 2025$854.3M-12%
Q3 2025$659.3M-1.1%
Q2 2025$580.5M+11%
Q1 2025$818.5M+9.6%
Q4 2024$969M+69%
Q3 2024$666.5M-3%

CCU's revenue fell from its 2024 peak and has held roughly level since: $608M last quarter, up 4.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH has the edge over CCU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CCU Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: −$71MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $113MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: −$65MQ3 2025: −$26MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $141MQ2 2026: −$49M
Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: −$71MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $113MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: −$65MQ3 2025: −$26MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $141MQ2 2026: −$49M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$48.8M+$16.4M
Q1 2026$140.8M+38%
Q4 2025$80.3M-29%
Q3 2025-$25.7M-312%
Q2 2025-$65.2M+$5.7M
Q1 2025$102M+33%
Q4 2024$112.7M+92%
Q3 2024$12.1M-6.7%

CCU has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

CCU Total Shares

Q3 2023: 185MQ4 2023: 185MQ1 2024: 185MQ2 2024: 185MQ3 2024: 185MQ4 2024: 185MQ1 2025: 185MQ2 2025: 185MQ3 2025: 185MQ4 2025: 185MQ1 2026: 185MQ2 2026: 185M
Q3 2023: 185MQ4 2023: 185MQ1 2024: 185MQ2 2024: 185MQ3 2024: 185MQ4 2024: 185MQ1 2025: 185MQ2 2025: 185MQ3 2025: 185MQ4 2025: 185MQ1 2026: 185MQ2 2026: 185M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years0%+64 shares
5 years0%+64 shares
Available history0%+64 shares

CCU has 185M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over CCU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CCU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 1.8xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.0xModerate
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.8xHealthy
Q3 20242.8xModerate

CCU's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.8 years a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over CCU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CCU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.8Neutral
Stochastic19.7Oversold

CCU's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

CCU PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCCUSector medianRelative
PE20x19x0.5% above
PE %761858 pts above

CCU has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

CCU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.71% above
20 week MA$11.33.6% below
50 week MA$12.09.7% below
100 week MA$12.513% below
200 week MA$12.816% below

CCU has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 16% below its 200-week average.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has the edge over CCU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CCU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.4$15.0-22%
2021$15.0$15.8+4.9%
2022$15.8$12.7-19%
2023$12.7$12.5-1.3%
2024$12.5$11.5-8.3%
2025$11.5$13.0+13%
2026 YTD$13.0$10.8-17%

CCU has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

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