CCOI

Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc.

52
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

CCOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over CCOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

CCOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

CCOI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

CCOI PE Valuation

CCOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

CCOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CCOI's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over CCOI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

CCOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+97%$7.71
Downside-49%$1.99

Calculated from the latest close: $3.92 on Nov 12.

CCOI trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CCOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CCOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $26.62Q1 2024: $25.11Q2 2024: $0.78Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $-4.28Q1 2025: $-3.99Q2 2025: $-4.52Q3 2025: $-4.06Q4 2025: $-3.80Q1 2026: $-3.54Q2 2026: $-0.95Q3 2026: $-0.70
Q4 2023: $26.62Q1 2024: $25.11Q2 2024: $0.78Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $-4.28Q1 2025: $-3.99Q2 2025: $-4.52Q3 2025: $-4.06Q4 2025: $-3.80Q1 2026: $-3.54Q2 2026: $-0.95Q3 2026: $-0.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.70+$3.36
Q2 2026-$0.95+$3.57
Q1 2026-$3.54+$0.45
Q4 2025-$3.80+$0.48
Q3 2025-$4.06-725%
Q2 2025-$4.52-679%
Q1 2025-$3.99-116%
Q4 2024-$4.28-116%

CCOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.70 per share over the past year, against $4.52 at its worst in mid-2025.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over CCOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CCOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $266MQ2 2024: $260MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $252MQ1 2025: $247MQ2 2025: $246MQ3 2025: $242MQ4 2025: $241MQ1 2026: $239MQ2 2026: $236MQ3 2026: $231M
Q4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $266MQ2 2024: $260MQ3 2024: $257MQ4 2024: $252MQ1 2025: $247MQ2 2025: $246MQ3 2025: $242MQ4 2025: $241MQ1 2026: $239MQ2 2026: $236MQ3 2026: $231M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$231.2M-4.4%
Q2 2026$235.6M-4.3%
Q1 2026$239.2M-3.2%
Q4 2025$240.5M-4.7%
Q3 2025$241.9M-5.9%
Q2 2025$246.2M-5.5%
Q1 2025$247M-7.2%
Q4 2024$252.3M-7.3%

CCOI's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $231M last quarter, down 4.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over CCOI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CCOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$92MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$71MQ3 2024: −$79MQ4 2024: −$32MQ1 2025: −$22MQ2 2025: −$100MQ3 2025: −$33MQ4 2025: −$43MQ1 2026: −$31MQ2 2026: −$35MQ3 2026: −$33M
Q4 2023: −$92MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$71MQ3 2024: −$79MQ4 2024: −$32MQ1 2025: −$22MQ2 2025: −$100MQ3 2025: −$33MQ4 2025: −$43MQ1 2026: −$31MQ2 2026: −$35MQ3 2026: −$33M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$32.5M+$628K
Q2 2026-$35.3M+$64.9M
Q1 2026-$31.4M-$9.7M
Q4 2025-$43M-$11.5M
Q3 2025-$33.2M+$46.3M
Q2 2025-$100.2M-$29.3M
Q1 2025-$21.7M-$73K
Q4 2024-$31.6M+$60.7M

CCOI has burned cash in eight of the last eight quarters: −$142M over the past year, against −$187M the year before.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over CCOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CCOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-427K shares
1 year+0.8%+398K shares
3 years+1.6%+774K shares
5 years+2.4%+1.1M shares
Available history+4%+1.9M shares

CCOI has 48M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over CCOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CCOI Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 9.4xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2025: 9.4xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 20259.4xHigh
Q3 2023-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2023-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2023-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 20223.5xElevated

CCOI has the edge over TMUS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CCOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.2Oversold
Stochastic3.5Oversold

CCOI's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

CCOI PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricCCOISector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

CCOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

CCOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.8643% below
20 week MA$9.2558% below
50 week MA$15.975% below
100 week MA$33.888% below
200 week MA$50.992% below

CCOI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 92% below its 200-week average.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has the edge over CCOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CCOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$65.6$59.6-9.2%
2021$59.6$73.6+24%
2022$73.6$57.2-22%
2023$57.2$76.1+33%
2024$76.1$75.8-0.4%
2025$75.8$22.6-70%
2026 YTD$22.6$3.92-83%

CCOI has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 83% so far in 2026.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over CCOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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