CCK
Crown Holdings, Inc.
CCK has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CCK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
CCK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CCK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 14x | $120 | — |
| Cheap | 16x | $118 | -2.4% |
| Current | 17x | $120 | — |
| Fair | 21x | $149 | +24% |
| Expensive | 25x | $178 | +48% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CCK's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CCK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CCK, with profitability holding steady.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over CCK on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
CCK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.74 | +22% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.19 | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.96 | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.29 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.38 | +80% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.07 | +896% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.75 | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.64 | +34% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.55 | -5.6% |
CCK has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
CCK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.7B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.3B | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | +7.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.2B | +4.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.1B | +3.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.9B | +3.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.9B | +1.6% |
CCK's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $3.7B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +3 points |
CCK has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
CCK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $299M | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $597M | +52% |
| Q1 2026 | -$141M | -$122M |
| Q4 2025 | $255M | +75% |
| Q3 2025 | $488M | +2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $393M | +8.9% |
| Q1 2025 | -$19M | +$177M |
| Q4 2024 | $146M | -67% |
CCK has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
CCK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -1.5M shares |
| 1 year | -6.4% | -7.4M shares |
| 3 years | -9.5% | -11.4M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -21.4M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -26.9M shares |
CCK has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $81M |
| Q2 2026 | $305M |
| Q1 2026 | $212M |
| Q4 2025 | $191M |
| Q3 2025 | $105M |
| Q2 2025 | $6M |
| Q1 2025 | $203M |
| Q4 2024 | $100M |
CCK spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 91% from the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
CCK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
CCK's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CCK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.9 | Neutral |
CCK's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
CCK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CCK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 7% below |
| PE % | 19 | 47 | 28 pts below |
CCK is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CCK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $114.4 | 5.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $115.4 | 4.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $108.1 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $101.1 | 19% above |
| 200 week MA | $93.1 | 29% above |
CCK has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
CCK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $73.2 | $98.6 | +35% |
| 2021 | $98.6 | $105.7 | +7.2% |
| 2022 | $105.7 | $82.6 | -22% |
| 2023 | $82.6 | $92.1 | +12% |
| 2024 | $92.1 | $83.2 | -9.7% |
| 2025 | $83.2 | $102.9 | +24% |
| 2026 YTD | $102.9 | $120.5 | +17% |
CCK has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.