CCK
Crown Holdings, Inc.
CCK has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CCK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
CCK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CCK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 14x | $120 | — |
| Cheap | 16x | $118 | -2.4% |
| Current | 17x | $120 | — |
| Fair | 21x | $149 | +24% |
| Expensive | 25x | $178 | +48% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CCK's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CCK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CCK, with profitability holding steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over CCK on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
CCK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.74 | +22% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.19 | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.96 | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.29 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.38 | +80% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.07 | +896% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.75 | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.64 | +34% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.55 | -5.6% |
CCK has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
CCK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.7B | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.3B | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | +7.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.2B | +4.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.1B | +3.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.9B | +3.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.9B | +1.6% |
CCK's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $3.7B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +3 points |
CCK has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CCK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $299M | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $597M | +52% |
| Q1 2026 | -$141M | -$122M |
| Q4 2025 | $255M | +75% |
| Q3 2025 | $488M | +2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $393M | +8.9% |
| Q1 2025 | -$19M | +$177M |
| Q4 2024 | $146M | -67% |
CCK has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
CCK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -1.5M shares |
| 1 year | -6.4% | -7.4M shares |
| 3 years | -9.5% | -11.4M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -21.4M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -26.9M shares |
CCK has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $81M |
| Q2 2026 | $305M |
| Q1 2026 | $212M |
| Q4 2025 | $191M |
| Q3 2025 | $105M |
| Q2 2025 | $6M |
| Q1 2025 | $203M |
| Q4 2024 | $100M |
CCK spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 91% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
CCK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
CCK's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CCK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.9 | Neutral |
CCK's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
CCK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CCK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 7% below |
| PE % | 19 | 47 | 28 pts below |
CCK is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CCK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $114.4 | 5.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $115.4 | 4.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $108.1 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $101.1 | 19% above |
| 200 week MA | $93.1 | 29% above |
CCK has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
CCK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $73.2 | $98.6 | +35% |
| 2021 | $98.6 | $105.7 | +7.2% |
| 2022 | $105.7 | $82.6 | -22% |
| 2023 | $82.6 | $92.1 | +12% |
| 2024 | $92.1 | $83.2 | -9.7% |
| 2025 | $83.2 | $102.9 | +24% |
| 2026 YTD | $102.9 | $120.5 | +17% |
CCK has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.