CCK

Crown Holdings, Inc.

63
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CCK has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CCK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Stable

CCK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CCK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x63x94x126x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x63x94x126x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$120—
Cheap16x$118-2.4%
Current17x$120—
Fair21x$149+24%
Expensive25x$178+48%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CCK's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CCK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CCK, with profitability holding steady.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CCK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$144.25
Downside-14%$103.61

Calculated from the latest close: $120.48 on Nov 12.

CCK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails CCK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CCK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.76Q1 2024: $3.47Q2 2024: $3.61Q3 2024: $0.81Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $4.64Q2 2025: $4.75Q3 2025: $8.07Q4 2025: $6.38Q1 2026: $6.29Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.19Forward: $8.74
Q4 2023: $3.76Q1 2024: $3.47Q2 2024: $3.61Q3 2024: $0.81Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $4.64Q2 2025: $4.75Q3 2025: $8.07Q4 2025: $6.38Q1 2026: $6.29Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.19Forward: $8.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.74+22%
Q3 2026$7.19-11%
Q2 2026$6.96+47%
Q1 2026$6.29+36%
Q4 2025$6.38+80%
Q3 2025$8.07+896%
Q2 2025$4.75+32%
Q1 2025$4.64+34%
Q4 2024$3.55-5.6%

CCK has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CCK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+16%
Q2 2026$3.7B+16%
Q1 2026$3.3B+13%
Q4 2025$3.1B+7.7%
Q3 2025$3.2B+4.2%
Q2 2025$3.1B+3.6%
Q1 2025$2.9B+3.7%
Q4 2024$2.9B+1.6%

CCK has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

CCK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $442MQ1 2024: −$196MQ2 2024: $361MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $488MQ4 2025: $255MQ1 2026: −$141MQ2 2026: $597MQ3 2026: $299M
Q4 2023: $442MQ1 2024: −$196MQ2 2024: $361MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $488MQ4 2025: $255MQ1 2026: −$141MQ2 2026: $597MQ3 2026: $299M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$299M-39%
Q2 2026$597M+52%
Q1 2026-$141M-$122M
Q4 2025$255M+75%
Q3 2025$488M+2.1%
Q2 2025$393M+8.9%
Q1 2025-$19M+$177M
Q4 2024$146M-67%

CCK generated $1B in free cash flow over the past year, about the same as the year before.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

CCK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 116MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 108M
Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 116MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 108M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-1.5M shares
1 year-6.4%-7.4M shares
3 years-9.5%-11.4M shares
5 years-16%-21.4M shares
Available history-20%-26.9M shares

CCK has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

CCK Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate

CCK's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over CCK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CCK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.6Neutral
Stochastic77.9Neutral

CCK's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

CCK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCCKSector medianRelative
PE17x18x7% below
PE %194728 pts below

CCK is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CCK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$114.45.4% above
20 week MA$115.44.4% above
50 week MA$108.111% above
100 week MA$101.119% above
200 week MA$93.129% above

CCK has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

CCK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$73.2$98.6+35%
2021$98.6$105.7+7.2%
2022$105.7$82.6-22%
2023$82.6$92.1+12%
2024$92.1$83.2-9.7%
2025$83.2$102.9+24%
2026 YTD$102.9$120.5+17%

CCK has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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