CCK

Crown Holdings, Inc.

63
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CCK has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CCK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Stable

CCK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

CCK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x63x94x126x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x63x94x126x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$120—
Cheap16x$118-2.4%
Current17x$120—
Fair21x$149+24%
Expensive25x$178+48%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CCK has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

CCK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CCK, with profitability holding steady.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

CCK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$144.25
Downside-14%$103.61

Calculated from the latest close: $120.48 on Nov 12.

CCK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails CCK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CCK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.76Q1 2024: $3.47Q2 2024: $3.61Q3 2024: $0.81Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $4.64Q2 2025: $4.75Q3 2025: $8.07Q4 2025: $6.38Q1 2026: $6.29Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.19Forward: $8.74
Q4 2023: $3.76Q1 2024: $3.47Q2 2024: $3.61Q3 2024: $0.81Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $4.64Q2 2025: $4.75Q3 2025: $8.07Q4 2025: $6.38Q1 2026: $6.29Q2 2026: $6.96Q3 2026: $7.19Forward: $8.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.74+22%
Q3 2026$7.19-11%
Q2 2026$6.96+47%
Q1 2026$6.29+36%
Q4 2025$6.38+80%
Q3 2025$8.07+896%
Q2 2025$4.75+32%
Q1 2025$4.64+34%
Q4 2024$3.55-5.6%

CCK has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

CCK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+16%
Q2 2026$3.7B+16%
Q1 2026$3.3B+13%
Q4 2025$3.1B+7.7%
Q3 2025$3.2B+4.2%
Q2 2025$3.1B+3.6%
Q1 2025$2.9B+3.7%
Q4 2024$2.9B+1.6%

CCK's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $3.7B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over CCK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CCK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $442MQ1 2024: −$196MQ2 2024: $361MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $488MQ4 2025: $255MQ1 2026: −$141MQ2 2026: $597MQ3 2026: $299M
Q4 2023: $442MQ1 2024: −$196MQ2 2024: $361MQ3 2024: $478MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: −$19MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $488MQ4 2025: $255MQ1 2026: −$141MQ2 2026: $597MQ3 2026: $299M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$299M-39%
Q2 2026$597M+52%
Q1 2026-$141M-$122M
Q4 2025$255M+75%
Q3 2025$488M+2.1%
Q2 2025$393M+8.9%
Q1 2025-$19M+$177M
Q4 2024$146M-67%

CCK generated $1B in free cash flow over the past year, about the same as the year before.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 54% from the year before.

CCK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 116MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 108M
Q4 2023: 120MQ1 2024: 120MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 117MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 116MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 108M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-1.5M shares
1 year-6.4%-7.4M shares
3 years-9.5%-11.4M shares
5 years-16%-21.4M shares
Available history-20%-26.9M shares

CCK has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

CCK Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate

CCK's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over CCK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CCK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.6Neutral
Stochastic77.9Neutral

CCK's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

CCK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCCKSector medianRelative
PE17x18x7% below
PE %194728 pts below

CCK has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CCK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$114.45.4% above
20 week MA$115.44.4% above
50 week MA$108.111% above
100 week MA$101.119% above
200 week MA$93.129% above

CCK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% above its 200-week average.

CCK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$73.2$98.6+35%
2021$98.6$105.7+7.2%
2022$105.7$82.6-22%
2023$82.6$92.1+12%
2024$92.1$83.2-9.7%
2025$83.2$102.9+24%
2026 YTD$102.9$120.5+17%

CCK has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 17% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over CCK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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