CBU

Community Bank System, Inc.

57
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

CBU offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has a slight edge over CBU overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

CBU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

CBU's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CBU.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

CBU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.0x14x21x28x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.0x14x21x28x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$64.49—
Cheap15x$67.52+4.7%
Current15x$64.49—
Fair19x$82.32+28%
Expensive21x$93.38+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CBU has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

CBU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CBU, with profitability holding steady.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

CBU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$74.83
Downside-13%$55.92

Calculated from the latest close: $64.49 on Nov 12.

CBU trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CBU, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CBU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.45Q1 2024: $3.10Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $3.13Q4 2024: $3.44Q1 2025: $3.61Q2 2025: $3.67Q3 2025: $3.88Q4 2025: $3.97Q1 2026: $4.12Q2 2026: $4.31Q3 2026: $4.43Forward: $4.98
Q4 2023: $2.45Q1 2024: $3.10Q2 2024: $3.12Q3 2024: $3.13Q4 2024: $3.44Q1 2025: $3.61Q2 2025: $3.67Q3 2025: $3.88Q4 2025: $3.97Q1 2026: $4.12Q2 2026: $4.31Q3 2026: $4.43Forward: $4.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.98+12%
Q3 2026$4.43+14%
Q2 2026$4.31+17%
Q1 2026$4.12+14%
Q4 2025$3.97+15%
Q3 2025$3.88+24%
Q2 2025$3.67+18%
Q1 2025$3.61+16%
Q4 2024$3.44+40%

CBU has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

CBU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $177MQ2 2024: $184MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: $196MQ1 2025: $197MQ2 2025: $200MQ3 2025: $208MQ4 2025: $217MQ1 2026: $215MQ2 2026: $220MQ3 2026: $232M
Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $177MQ2 2024: $184MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: $196MQ1 2025: $197MQ2 2025: $200MQ3 2025: $208MQ4 2025: $217MQ1 2026: $215MQ2 2026: $220MQ3 2026: $232M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$231.6M+11%
Q2 2026$219.8M+9.6%
Q1 2026$215.2M+9.1%
Q4 2025$217M+11%
Q3 2025$208.1M+10%
Q2 2025$200.5M+9.1%
Q1 2025$197.3M+11%
Q4 2024$196.3M+11%

CBU has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

CBU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $83MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $106M
Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: $77MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $83MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $106M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$106.4M+28%
Q2 2026$41.4M+14%
Q1 2026$60.3M+16%
Q4 2025$61.6M+5.2%
Q3 2025$83.4M+61%
Q2 2025$36.4M+7.7%
Q1 2025$52M-33%
Q4 2024$58.5M+46%

CBU has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

CBU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 53M
Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 53MQ2 2025: 53MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 53M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+17K shares
1 year0%-4K shares
3 years-1.5%-806K shares
5 years-3%-1.6M shares
Available history+1.1%+552K shares

CBU has 53M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over CBU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CBU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.2x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.8xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 20243.0xElevated

CBU has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

CBU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.5Neutral
Stochastic65.5Neutral

CBU's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

CBU PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCBUSector medianRelative
PE15x13x12% above
PE %76356 pts below

CBU is trading at 15x earnings, a 12% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over CBU on valuation relative to its sector.

CBU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.94.2% above
20 week MA$63.81.1% above
50 week MA$62.63% above
100 week MA$60.46.8% above
200 week MA$55.915% above

CBU has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

CBU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$70.6$62.6-11%
2021$62.6$74.2+18%
2022$74.2$62.3-16%
2023$62.3$52.1-16%
2024$52.1$62.3+20%
2025$62.3$59.0-5.2%
2026 YTD$59.0$64.5+9.2%

CBU has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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