CB

Chubb Limited

56
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CB has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over CB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

CB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CB.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

CB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.0x16x24x32x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.0x16x24x32x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$317-15%
Fair13x$363-2.3%
Current13x$372—
Forward13x$372—
Expensive16x$457+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CB has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect CB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over CB on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

CB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$414.97
Downside-11%$330.19

Calculated from the latest close: $371.76 on Nov 12.

CB trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $21.80Q1 2024: $22.50Q2 2024: $23.64Q3 2024: $24.39Q4 2024: $22.70Q1 2025: $20.76Q2 2025: $22.65Q3 2025: $23.94Q4 2025: $25.68Q1 2026: $28.27Q2 2026: $28.22Q3 2026: $28.53Forward: $28.98
Q4 2023: $21.80Q1 2024: $22.50Q2 2024: $23.64Q3 2024: $24.39Q4 2024: $22.70Q1 2025: $20.76Q2 2025: $22.65Q3 2025: $23.94Q4 2025: $25.68Q1 2026: $28.27Q2 2026: $28.22Q3 2026: $28.53Forward: $28.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$28.98+1.6%
Q3 2026$28.53+19%
Q2 2026$28.22+25%
Q1 2026$28.27+36%
Q4 2025$25.68+13%
Q3 2025$23.94-1.8%
Q2 2025$22.65-4.2%
Q1 2025$20.76-7.7%
Q4 2024$22.70+4.1%

CB earned $28.53 per share over the past year, up 19% from the year before.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over CB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13BQ1 2024: $12.9BQ2 2024: $13.8BQ3 2024: $14.8BQ4 2024: $14.2BQ1 2025: $13.4BQ2 2025: $14.8BQ3 2025: $16.1BQ4 2025: $15.1BQ1 2026: $14.8BQ2 2026: $15.8BQ3 2026: $16.2B
Q4 2023: $13BQ1 2024: $12.9BQ2 2024: $13.8BQ3 2024: $14.8BQ4 2024: $14.2BQ1 2025: $13.4BQ2 2025: $14.8BQ3 2025: $16.1BQ4 2025: $15.1BQ1 2026: $14.8BQ2 2026: $15.8BQ3 2026: $16.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.2B+0.3%
Q2 2026$15.8B+6.6%
Q1 2026$14.8B+11%
Q4 2025$15.1B+6.3%
Q3 2025$16.1B+8.7%
Q2 2025$14.8B+7.2%
Q1 2025$13.4B+3.6%
Q4 2024$14.2B+9.1%

CB's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $16.2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

CB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.2BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $4.1BQ3 2024: $4.3BQ4 2024: $4.6BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.1BQ1 2026: $3.9BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $6.1B
Q4 2023: $3.2BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $4.1BQ3 2024: $4.3BQ4 2024: $4.6BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.1BQ1 2026: $3.9BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $6.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.1B+67%
Q2 2026$3.7B+5%
Q1 2026$3.9B+152%
Q4 2025$4.1B-11%
Q3 2025$3.6B-16%
Q2 2025$3.6B-13%
Q1 2025$1.6B-51%
Q4 2024$4.6B+43%

CB has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

CB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 414MQ1 2024: 410MQ2 2024: 409MQ3 2024: 408MQ4 2024: 408MQ1 2025: 405MQ2 2025: 404MQ3 2025: 401MQ4 2025: 402MQ1 2026: 395MQ2 2026: 391MQ3 2026: 389M
Q4 2023: 414MQ1 2024: 410MQ2 2024: 409MQ3 2024: 408MQ4 2024: 408MQ1 2025: 405MQ2 2025: 404MQ3 2025: 401MQ4 2025: 402MQ1 2026: 395MQ2 2026: 391MQ3 2026: 389M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-1.9M shares
1 year-2.9%-11.5M shares
3 years-5.6%-23.2M shares
5 years-11%-49.1M shares
Available history-15%-69.5M shares

CB has 389M diluted shares, down 2.9% from a year ago, with $4.4B in buybacks over the past year.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over CB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CB Net Leverage

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

CB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.4Neutral
Stochastic78.5Neutral

CB's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

CB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCBSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.1% above
PE %56637 pts below

CB has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

CB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$352.75.4% above
20 week MA$349.46.4% above
50 week MA$332.312% above
100 week MA$306.421% above
200 week MA$271.137% above

CB has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

CB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$155.8$150.8-3.2%
2021$150.8$190.6+26%
2022$190.6$219.7+15%
2023$219.7$226.0+2.9%
2024$226.0$277.7+23%
2025$277.7$313.5+13%
2026 YTD$313.5$371.8+19%

CB has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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