CAVA
CAVA Group, Inc.
CAVA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has a slight edge over CAVA overall on the model score.
CAVA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
CAVA's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
CAVA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 53x | $28.53 | -50% |
| Fair | 75x | $40.72 | -29% |
| Forward | 84x | $57.35 | — |
| Current | 106x | $57.35 | — |
| Expensive | 147x | $79.57 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAVA has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
CAVA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
CAVA has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CAVA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.69 | +27% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.54 | -53% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.55 | -54% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.52 | -57% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.54 | -51% |
CAVA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.54 over the past year, against $1.20 in early 2025.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA has the edge over CAVA on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
CAVA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $356.4M | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $368.4M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $438.3M | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $275M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $292.2M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $280.6M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $331.8M | +28% |
| Q4 2024 | $227.4M | +28% |
CAVA has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2% | -1.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.8% | +1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.9% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.7% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7% | +2.6 points |
CAVA has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
CAVA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$7.7M | -661% |
| Q2 2026 | $29.3M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.5M | +473% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4M | -94% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.2M | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7M | -42% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1M | +$9.3M |
CAVA has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
CAVA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -93K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +15K shares |
| 3 years | +278% | +87M shares |
CAVA has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | $1.5M |
| Q3 2023 | $105,000 |
| Q2 2023 | $1.4M |
| Q4 2022 | $250,000 |
| Q3 2022 | $19,000 |
| Q2 2022 | $13,000 |
| Q2 2022 | $629,000 |
| Q4 2021 | $156,000 |
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
CAVA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
CAVA has the edge over TSLA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has more cash than debt.
CAVA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.6 | Neutral |
CAVA's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
CAVA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CAVA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 106x | 18x | 489% above |
| PE % | 62 | 36 | 26 pts above |
CAVA has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
CAVA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $55.7 | 3% above |
| 20 week MA | $61.8 | 7.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $69.9 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $77.2 | 26% below |
TSLA has stronger trend alignment. CAVA is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus TSLA above 5 of 5.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.
CAVA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $38.2 | $43.0 | +13% |
| 2024 | $43.0 | $114.4 | +166% |
| 2025 | $114.4 | $60.2 | -47% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.2 | $57.4 | -4.7% |
CAVA has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.