CAVA
CAVA Group, Inc.
CAVA has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over CAVA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
CAVA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
CAVA's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CAVA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 53x | $28.53 | -50% |
| Fair | 75x | $40.72 | -29% |
| Forward | 84x | $57.35 | — |
| Current | 106x | $57.35 | — |
| Expensive | 147x | $79.57 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAVA's PE is in its fair range at 106x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 84x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAVA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CAVA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
CAVA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.69 | +27% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.54 | -53% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.55 | -54% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.52 | -57% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.54 | -51% |
CAVA has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
CAVA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $356.4M | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $368.4M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $438.3M | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $275M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $292.2M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $280.6M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $331.8M | +28% |
| Q4 2024 | $227.4M | +28% |
CAVA has the edge over NIO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2% | -1.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.8% | +1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.9% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.7% | +1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7% | +2.6 points |
CAVA has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAVA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$7.7M | -661% |
| Q2 2026 | $29.3M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.5M | +473% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4M | -94% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.2M | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7M | -42% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1M | +$9.3M |
CAVA usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$8M, but it generated $40M over the past year.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
CAVA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -93K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +15K shares |
| 3 years | +278% | +87M shares |
CAVA has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | $1.5M |
| Q3 2023 | $105,000 |
| Q2 2023 | $1.4M |
| Q4 2022 | $250,000 |
| Q3 2022 | $19,000 |
| Q2 2022 | $13,000 |
| Q2 2022 | $629,000 |
| Q4 2021 | $156,000 |
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
CAVA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
CAVA has more cash than debt.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CAVA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.6 | Neutral |
CAVA's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
CAVA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CAVA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 106x | 18x | 489% above |
| PE % | 62 | 36 | 26 pts above |
CAVA is trading at 106x earnings, a 489% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAVA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $55.7 | 3% above |
| 20 week MA | $61.8 | 7.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $69.9 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $77.2 | 26% below |
CAVA has stronger trend alignment. CAVA is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus NIO above 0 of 5.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
CAVA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $38.2 | $43.0 | +13% |
| 2024 | $43.0 | $114.4 | +166% |
| 2025 | $114.4 | $60.2 | -47% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.2 | $57.4 | -4.7% |
CAVA has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.