CAVA

CAVA Group, Inc.

50
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

CAVA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has a slight edge over CAVA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

CAVA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Strong

CAVA's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CAVA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE46x92x138x184x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE46x92x138x184x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap53x$28.53-50%
Fair75x$40.72-29%
Forward84x$57.35—
Current106x$57.35—
Expensive147x$79.57+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAVA's PE is in its fair range at 106x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 84x next year's earnings.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAVA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CAVA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CAVA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+74%$100.06
Downside-24%$43.46

Calculated from the latest close: $57.35 on Nov 12.

CAVA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails CAVA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAVA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $1.10Q2 2025: $1.20Q3 2025: $1.19Q4 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $0.54Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.55Q4 2026: $0.54Forward: $0.69
Q4 2024: $1.10Q2 2025: $1.20Q3 2025: $1.19Q4 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $0.54Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.55Q4 2026: $0.54Forward: $0.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.69+27%
Q3 2026$0.54-53%
Q2 2026$0.55-54%
Q2 2026$0.52-57%
Q4 2025$0.54-51%

CAVA has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

CAVA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $177MQ2 2024: $259MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $244MQ4 2024: $227MQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $281MQ4 2025: $292MQ4 2025: $275MQ2 2026: $438MQ3 2026: $368MQ4 2026: $356M
Q4 2023: $177MQ2 2024: $259MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $244MQ4 2024: $227MQ2 2025: $332MQ3 2025: $281MQ4 2025: $292MQ4 2025: $275MQ2 2026: $438MQ3 2026: $368MQ4 2026: $356M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$356.4M+22%
Q2 2026$368.4M+31%
Q2 2026$438.3M+32%
Q4 2025$275M+21%
Q3 2025$292.2M+20%
Q2 2025$280.6M+20%
Q2 2025$331.8M+28%
Q4 2024$227.4M+28%

CAVA's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2022: $356M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over CAVA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CAVA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$7MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $3MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $29MQ4 2026: −$8M
Q4 2023: −$7MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $3MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $29MQ4 2026: −$8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.7M-661%
Q2 2026$29.3M+53%
Q2 2026$15.5M+473%
Q4 2025$2.9M+36%
Q3 2025$1.4M-94%
Q2 2025$19.2M-15%
Q2 2025$2.7M-42%
Q4 2024$2.1M+$9.3M

CAVA has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

CAVA Total Shares

Q2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 118MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 118MQ2 2026: 118MQ3 2026: 118MQ4 2026: 118M
Q2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 118MQ4 2024: 118MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 118MQ2 2026: 118MQ3 2026: 118MQ4 2026: 118M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-93K shares
1 year0%+15K shares
3 years+278%+87M shares

CAVA has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

CAVA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -6.4xQ2 2024: -4.8xQ3 2024: -4.2xQ4 2024: -3.9xQ4 2024: -3.5xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.1xQ4 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: -6.4xQ2 2024: -4.8xQ3 2024: -4.2xQ4 2024: -3.9xQ4 2024: -3.5xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.1xQ4 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.5xNet Cash

CAVA has more cash than debt.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CAVA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.6Neutral
Stochastic33.6Neutral

CAVA's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CAVA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCAVASector medianRelative
PE106x18x489% above
PE %623626 pts above

CAVA is trading at 106x earnings, a 489% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAVA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.73% above
20 week MA$61.87.2% below
50 week MA$69.918% below
100 week MA$77.226% below

CAVA has stronger trend alignment. CAVA is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus LCID above 0 of 5.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

CAVA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$38.2$43.0+13%
2024$43.0$114.4+166%
2025$114.4$60.2-47%
2026 YTD$60.2$57.4-4.7%

CAVA has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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