CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

XCH

XCHG Limited American Depositary Share

There isn't enough reported data to score XCH yet.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

XCH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Weak
Strong

XCH's balance sheet is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

XCH PE Valuation

XCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XCH Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for XCH to show an outlook.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and XCH's risk to reward.

XCH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $4.12 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and XCH's risk to reward.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the edge over XCH in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

XCH Earnings Per Share

Q2 2023: $1.68Q3 2023: $-1.94Q4 2023: $-3.60Q4 2024: $0.00Q4 2025: $-0.24
Q2 2023: $1.68Q3 2023: $-1.94Q4 2023: $-3.60Q4 2024: $0.00Q4 2025: $-0.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025-$0.24-$0.24
Q4 2024$0.00+$3.60

XCH has swung to a loss: it lost $0.24 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

XCH Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2022: $10MQ4 2022: $10MQ1 2023: $7MQ2 2023: $12MQ3 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $11MQ4 2024: $42MQ2 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $13M
Q3 2022: $10MQ4 2022: $10MQ1 2023: $7MQ2 2023: $12MQ3 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $11MQ4 2024: $42MQ2 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $13M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$12.6M-70%
Q4 2024$42.2M+301%
Q4 2023$10.5M+2.7%
Q3 2023$8.4M-18%

XCH has the edge over CAT in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over XCH in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

XCH Free Cash Flow

Q3 2022: $5MQ4 2022: $2MQ1 2023: −$3MQ2 2023: $4MQ3 2023: −$4MQ4 2023: −$3MQ4 2024: --Q2 2025: --Q4 2025: --
Q3 2022: $5MQ4 2022: $2MQ1 2023: −$3MQ2 2023: $4MQ3 2023: −$4MQ4 2023: −$3MQ4 2024: --Q2 2025: --Q4 2025: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2023-$2.6M-243%
Q3 2023-$4.1M-177%

CAT has the edge over XCH in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over XCH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XCH Total Shares

Q3 2022: 3MQ4 2022: 3MQ1 2023: 3MQ2 2023: 3MQ3 2023: 3MQ4 2023: 3MQ4 2024: 64MQ2 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 140M
Q3 2022: 3MQ4 2022: 3MQ1 2023: 3MQ2 2023: 3MQ3 2023: 3MQ4 2023: 3MQ4 2024: 64MQ2 2025: 127MQ4 2025: 140M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.9%+12.6M shares
1 year+4615%+137M shares

XCH has 140M diluted shares, up 4615% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

XCH Net Leverage

Q2 2023: -0.5x
Q2 2023: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2023-0.5xNet Cash

XCH has more cash than debt.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

XCH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.3Neutral
Stochastic40.5Neutral

XCH's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

XCH PE vs Industrials Sector

XCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has stronger trend alignment. CAT is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus XCH above 1 of 4.

XCH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.3623% above
20 week MA$5.8029% below
50 week MA$14.572% below
100 week MA$20.780% below

XCH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 80% below its 100-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over XCH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XCH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$158.0$44.0-72%
2025$44.0$24.2-45%
2026 YTD$24.2$4.12-83%

XCH has finished every year since 2024 lower, and it's down 83% so far in 2026.

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