CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over WNC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
WNC
Wabash National Corporation
WNC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
WNC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
WNC's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
WNC PE Valuation
WNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
WNC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect WNC's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over WNC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
WNC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.41 | -156% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.93 | +$0.49 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.60 | -$0.05 |
| Q4 2025 | $4.87 | +$11.39 |
| Q3 2025 | $6.08 | +$11.51 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.42 | -174% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.55 | -137% |
| Q4 2024 | -$6.52 | -236% |
WNC has swung to a loss: it lost $3.41 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over WNC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over WNC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
WNC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $476.4M | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $417.2M | -9.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $303.2M | -20% |
| Q4 2025 | $321.5M | -23% |
| Q3 2025 | $381.6M | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $458.8M | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $380.9M | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $416.8M | -30% |
WNC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $476M last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.2% | -19 points |
| Q2 2026 | -6.1% | -5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -17% | -100 points |
| Q4 2025 | -19% | -20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +108 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1% | -9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 83% | +77 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9% | -9.4 points |
WNC's operating margin was −4.2% last quarter, down 19 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over WNC on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
WNC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$40.8M | -151% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1M | +$25.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$37.1M | -$28.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$61.9M | -204% |
| Q3 2025 | $79.9M | +183% |
| Q2 2025 | -$22.1M | -$16M |
| Q1 2025 | -$9M | +$27.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $59.5M | -42% |
WNC's free cash flow was −$137M over the past year, against $108M the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over WNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
WNC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +74K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -179K shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -6.8M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -9.6M shares |
| Available history | -26% | -14.3M shares |
WNC has 41M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $666,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $6.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $10.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $16.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $8.6M |
WNC spent $666,000 buying back its own shares over the past year, down 98% from the year before.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has more cash than debt.
WNC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2023 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2023 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2023 | 1.3x | Healthy |
WNC's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
WNC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.3 | Oversold |
WNC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
WNC PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | WNC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
WNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
WNC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.5 | 6.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $12.8 | 8.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.7 | 9% above |
| 100 week MA | $10.9 | 7.7% above |
| 200 week MA | $17.0 | 31% below |
WNC's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
WNC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.4 | $17.4 | +20% |
| 2021 | $17.4 | $19.7 | +13% |
| 2022 | $19.7 | $23.3 | +18% |
| 2023 | $23.3 | $25.6 | +10% |
| 2024 | $25.6 | $17.3 | -32% |
| 2025 | $17.3 | $8.88 | -49% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.88 | $11.7 | +32% |
WNC has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.