CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over WERN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

WERN

Werner Enterprises, Inc.

49
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

WERN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

WERN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

WERN's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

WERN PE Valuation

WERN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WERN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WERN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WERN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WERN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$37.18
Downside-24%$20.98

Calculated from the latest close: $27.75 on Nov 12.

WERN trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the edge over WERN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

WERN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.76Q1 2024: $1.31Q2 2024: $0.99Q3 2024: $0.73Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $0.41Q4 2025: $-0.24Q1 2026: $-0.15Q2 2026: $-0.76Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $1.43
Q4 2023: $1.76Q1 2024: $1.31Q2 2024: $0.99Q3 2024: $0.73Q4 2024: $0.55Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $0.41Q4 2025: $-0.24Q1 2026: $-0.15Q2 2026: $-0.76Q3 2026: $-0.31Forward: $1.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.43—
Q3 2026-$0.31-176%
Q2 2026-$0.76-188%
Q1 2026-$0.15-152%
Q4 2025-$0.24-144%
Q3 2025$0.41-44%
Q2 2025$0.86-13%
Q1 2025$0.29-78%
Q4 2024$0.55-69%

WERN has swung to a loss: it lost $0.31 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over WERN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WERN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $822MQ1 2024: $769MQ2 2024: $761MQ3 2024: $746MQ4 2024: $755MQ1 2025: $712MQ2 2025: $753MQ3 2025: $771MQ4 2025: $738MQ1 2026: $809MQ2 2026: $934MQ3 2026: $951M
Q4 2023: $822MQ1 2024: $769MQ2 2024: $761MQ3 2024: $746MQ4 2024: $755MQ1 2025: $712MQ2 2025: $753MQ3 2025: $771MQ4 2025: $738MQ1 2026: $809MQ2 2026: $934MQ3 2026: $951M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$950.5M+23%
Q2 2026$933.9M+24%
Q1 2026$808.6M+14%
Q4 2025$737.6M-2.3%
Q3 2025$771.5M+3.5%
Q2 2025$753.1M-1%
Q1 2025$712.1M-7.4%
Q4 2024$754.7M-8.2%

WERN's revenue is growing: $951M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over WERN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

WERN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $50MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: −$31MQ3 2024: −$73MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$42MQ3 2025: −$9MQ4 2025: −$24MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: −$63M
Q4 2023: $50MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: −$31MQ3 2024: −$73MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$42MQ3 2025: −$9MQ4 2025: −$24MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: −$63M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$63.2M-$54.6M
Q2 2026$54.8M+$97.1M
Q1 2026$30.7M+424%
Q4 2025-$23.5M-$13.8M
Q3 2025-$8.6M+$64.9M
Q2 2025-$42.3M-$11.1M
Q1 2025$5.9M-81%
Q4 2024-$9.8M-120%

WERN's free cash flow was −$1M over the past year, against −$55M the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over WERN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WERN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 62MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 62MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+65K shares
1 year+0.8%+475K shares
3 years-5.4%-3.4M shares
5 years-11%-7.5M shares
Available history-14%-9.7M shares

WERN has 60M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

WERN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20221.0xVery low
Q3 20210.6xVery low
Q2 20210.8xVery low
Q1 20210.5xVery low
Q4 20200.8xVery low
Q3 20200.7xVery low
Q2 20200.6xVery low
Q1 20200.9xVery low

WERN's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

WERN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.5Neutral
Stochastic3.7Oversold

WERN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

WERN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricWERNSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

WERN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over WERN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WERN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.69.4% below
20 week MA$36.223% below
50 week MA$35.121% below
100 week MA$32.214% below
200 week MA$36.424% below

WERN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 24% below its 200-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over WERN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WERN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.2$39.6+9.2%
2021$39.6$46.2+17%
2022$46.2$41.6-10%
2023$41.6$42.4+1.9%
2024$42.4$36.3-14%
2025$36.3$30.6-16%
2026 YTD$30.6$27.8-9.2%

WERN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 9.2% so far in 2026.

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