CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

VTSI

VirTra, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score VTSI yet.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VTSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Unavailable
Healthy

VTSI's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605โ€”
Current24x$605โ€”
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

VTSI PE Valuation

VTSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VTSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect VTSI to return to profit, with revenue growing.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and VTSI's risk to reward.

VTSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $2.62 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and VTSI's risk to reward.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the edge over VTSI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VTSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.53Q4 2024: $0.12Q1 2025: $0.12Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $-0.05Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $-0.25Q3 2026: $-0.03Forward: $0.08
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.61Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.53Q4 2024: $0.12Q1 2025: $0.12Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $-0.05Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $-0.25Q3 2026: $-0.03Forward: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.08โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.03+$0.02
Q2 2026-$0.25-933%
Q1 2026-$0.21-275%
Q4 2025$0.02-83%
Q3 2025-$0.05-109%
Q2 2025$0.03-95%
Q1 2025$0.12-80%
Q4 2024$0.12-84%

VTSI lost $0.03 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over VTSI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VTSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.6M+42%
Q2 2026$5.8M-17%
Q1 2026$3.5M-51%
Q4 2025$2.9M-38%
Q3 2025$5.3M-29%
Q2 2025$7M+15%
Q1 2025$7.2M-12%
Q4 2024$4.7M-54%

VTSI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $8M last quarter, up 42% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

VTSI has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 121% versus its history, compared with CAT at up 39%.

VTSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$2MQ1 2025: โˆ’$362,680Q2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $133,845Q4 2025: โˆ’$2MQ1 2026: โˆ’$580,391Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$2MQ1 2025: โˆ’$362,680Q2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $133,845Q4 2025: โˆ’$2MQ1 2026: โˆ’$580,391Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.2M+3068%
Q1 2026-$580.4K-$217.7K
Q4 2025-$2.1M-$546.8K
Q3 2025$133.8K-90%
Q1 2025-$362.7K-107%
Q4 2024-$1.6M-192%
Q3 2024$1.3M-66%
Q1 2024$5.1M+530%

VTSI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $2M over the past year.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over VTSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VTSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+14.7K shares
1 year+0.5%+53.4K shares
3 years+3.5%+380K shares
5 years+2.6%+291K shares
Available history+46%+3.6M shares

VTSI has 11M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

VTSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -3.1xQ2 2025: -4.1xQ3 2025: -7.3xQ4 2025: -5.0xQ3 2026: -4.9x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -1.7xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -3.1xQ2 2025: -4.1xQ3 2025: -7.3xQ4 2025: -5.0xQ3 2026: -4.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.3xNet Cash

VTSI has the edge over CAT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

VTSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.6Neutral
Stochastic12.4Oversold

VTSI's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

VTSI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVTSISector medianRelative
PEN/A24xโ€”

VTSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over VTSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VTSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.713.3% below
20 week MA$2.9411% below
50 week MA$3.7029% below
100 week MA$4.7144% below
200 week MA$6.1758% below

VTSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 58% below its 200-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over VTSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VTSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.43$3.62-18%
2021$3.62$7.27+101%
2022$7.27$4.25-42%
2023$4.25$9.47+123%
2024$9.47$6.62-30%
2025$6.62$4.38-34%
2026 YTD$4.38$2.62-40%

VTSI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +123% in 2023 to โˆ’42% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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