CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over ULH overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
ULH
Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc.
ULH's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ULH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
ULH's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT has the edge over ULH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ULH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6x | $10.18 | -66% |
| Fair | 8.2x | $13.90 | -53% |
| Expensive | 14x | $22.97 | -23% |
| Forward | 15x | $29.71 | — |
| Current | 18x | $29.71 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ULH's PE is in its expensive range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
CAT has the edge over ULH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
ULH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ULH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over ULH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ULH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.95 | +15% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.69 | +$4.86 |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.48 | -250% |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.15 | -231% |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.79 | -177% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.17 | -164% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.32 | -52% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.17 | -31% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.93 | +40% |
ULH has returned to profit: it earned $1.69 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over ULH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over ULH on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ULH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $394M | -0.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $379.3M | -3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $367.6M | -3.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $385.4M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $396.8M | -7% |
| Q2 2025 | $393.8M | -15% |
| Q1 2025 | $382.4M | -22% |
| Q4 2024 | $465.1M | +19% |
ULH's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $394M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.3% | +38 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.3% | -2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.5% | -3.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | -30% | -40 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | -5.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.1% | -11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.5 points |
ULH's operating margin was 8.3% last quarter, up 38 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
ULH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.2M | +$35.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $27.1M | +$85.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $23.8M | -25% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.3M | -25% |
| Q3 2025 | -$28.6M | +$30.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$58.6M | +$9M |
| Q1 2025 | $31.7M | +$63.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $18.9M | +3156% |
ULH has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over ULH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
ULH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -3K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +27K shares |
| 3 years | +0.2% | +57K shares |
| 5 years | -2.1% | -561K shares |
| Available history | -3.4% | -916K shares |
ULH has 26M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $67,000 |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $24,000 |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | $134,000 |
| Q2 2023 | — |
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over ULH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ULH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 7.2x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 10.3x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 9.4x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.0x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.3x | Moderate |
ULH's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.0 years a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ULH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 72.0 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 80.1 | Overbought |
ULH's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
ULH PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ULH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 24x | 27% below |
| PE % | 96 | 58 | 38 pts above |
ULH has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
ULH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.6 | 44% above |
| 20 week MA | $18.5 | 60% above |
| 50 week MA | $17.7 | 67% above |
| 100 week MA | $22.3 | 33% above |
| 200 week MA | $28.3 | 5.2% above |
ULH has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
ULH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.1 | $20.7 | +8.6% |
| 2021 | $20.7 | $18.0 | -13% |
| 2022 | $18.0 | $34.2 | +90% |
| 2023 | $34.2 | $28.0 | -18% |
| 2024 | $28.0 | $46.1 | +64% |
| 2025 | $46.1 | $15.7 | -66% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.7 | $29.7 | +90% |
ULH has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.