CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over UBER overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
UBER
Uber Technologies, Inc.
UBER's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
UBER Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
UBER's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT has the edge over UBER in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
UBER PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $26.01 | -62% |
| Fair | 17x | $29.70 | -57% |
| Forward | 17x | $69.12 | — |
| Current | 40x | $69.12 | — |
| Expensive | 93x | $160 | +131% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UBER's PE is in its expensive range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
UBER Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UBER, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.73 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
UBER Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.07 | +138% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.71 | -78% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.57 | -22% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.03 | -29% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.73 | +3.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.78 | +285% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.87 | +538% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.71 | +806% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.56 | +424% |
UBER has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over UBER on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
UBER Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $14.8B | +9.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.2B | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.4B | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.7B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.5B | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $12B | +20% |
UBER has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +5.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.3% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | +9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.4% | -0.1 points |
UBER's operating margin was 9.8% last quarter, up 1.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
UBER Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.5B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | +1.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +65% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2B | +5.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5B | +44% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.3B | +66% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +122% |
UBER has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has 461M diluted shares, down 2.1% from a year ago, with $8.1B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
UBER Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +99K shares |
| 1 year | -3.5% | -74.1M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -58.2M shares |
| 5 years | +8% | +151M shares |
| Available history | +19% | +326M shares |
UBER has the edge over CAT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $750M |
| Q2 2026 | $518M |
| Q1 2026 | $3B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $555M |
UBER spent $6.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over UBER on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
UBER Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
UBER's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
UBER Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.7 | Oversold |
UBER's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.1% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT has the edge over UBER on valuation relative to its sector.
UBER PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | UBER | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40x | 28x | 45% above |
| PE % | 68 | 35 | 33 pts above |
UBER is trading at 40x earnings, a 45% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
UBER Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $68.7 | 0.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $71.7 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $74.4 | 7.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $78.9 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $67.9 | 1.8% above |
UBER's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 1.8% above its 200-week average.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over UBER on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
UBER Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $30.2 | $52.9 | +75% |
| 2021 | $52.9 | $43.9 | -17% |
| 2022 | $43.9 | $24.6 | -44% |
| 2023 | $24.6 | $61.6 | +150% |
| 2024 | $61.6 | $61.1 | -0.7% |
| 2025 | $61.1 | $81.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $81.3 | $69.1 | -15% |
UBER's yearly returns have swung widely, from +150% in 2023 to −44% in 2022. It's down 15% so far in 2026.