CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

TG

Tredegar Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score TG yet.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Unavailable
Strong

TG's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605โ€”
Current24x$605โ€”
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

TG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE60x119x179x239x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE60x119x179x239x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$4.45-22%
Current8.4x$5.69โ€”
Fair9.2x$6.27+10%
Expensive23x$15.37+170%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TG has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TG Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TG to show an outlook.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and TG's risk to reward.

TG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $5.69 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and TG's risk to reward.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.73+17%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

TG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.10Q1 2024: $-2.97Q2 2024: $-2.15Q3 2024: $-0.79Q4 2024: $-1.87Q1 2025: $-1.68Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.58Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.84Q2 2026: $0.96Q3 2026: $0.68
Q4 2023: $-3.10Q1 2024: $-2.97Q2 2024: $-2.15Q3 2024: $-0.79Q4 2024: $-1.87Q1 2025: $-1.68Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.58Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.84Q2 2026: $0.96Q3 2026: $0.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.68+$2.26
Q2 2026$0.96+$2.85
Q1 2026$0.84+$2.52
Q4 2025$0.96+$2.83
Q3 2025-$1.58-$0.79
Q2 2025-$1.89+$0.26
Q1 2025-$1.68+$1.29
Q4 2024-$1.87+$1.23

TG has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

TG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

TG and CAT do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

TG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$24MQ1 2024: โˆ’$10MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: โˆ’$4MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: โˆ’$8MQ2 2025: โˆ’$527,000Q3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: โˆ’$3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: โˆ’$4M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$24MQ1 2024: โˆ’$10MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: โˆ’$4MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: โˆ’$8MQ2 2025: โˆ’$527,000Q3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: โˆ’$3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: โˆ’$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.1M-125%
Q2 2026$1.6M+$2.1M
Q1 2026-$3.2M+$4.8M
Q4 2025$7.7M-40%
Q3 2025$16.5M+$20.7M
Q2 2025-$527K-104%
Q1 2025-$8M+$2.2M
Q4 2024$12.8M+$37.2M

TG has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over TG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-123K shares
1 year-0.1%-52K shares
3 years+1.3%+457K shares
5 years+3.2%+1.1M shares
Available history+4.3%+1.4M shares

TG has 35M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over TG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TG Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20254.0xElevated
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

TG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.5 years a year ago.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

TG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.4Neutral
Stochastic17.0Oversold

TG's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.1% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

TG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricTGSector medianRelative
PE8.4x24x65% below
PE %415817 pts below

TG has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over TG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.8517% below
20 week MA$7.3623% below
50 week MA$7.9228% below
100 week MA$7.9228% below
200 week MA$7.2822% below

TG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 22% below its 200-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over TG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.9$16.0-27%
2021$16.0$11.8-27%
2022$11.8$10.3-12%
2023$10.3$5.41-48%
2024$5.41$7.68+42%
2025$7.68$7.42-3.4%
2026 YTD$7.42$5.69-23%

TG has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 23% so far in 2026.

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