CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over SYM overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

SYM

Symbotic Inc.

62
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

SYM offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SYM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SYM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

SYM PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward82x$35.44—
Current443x$35.44—
Cheap477x$38.19+7.8%
Fair521x$41.71+18%
Expensive536x$42.85+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SYM has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

CAT has the edge over SYM on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

SYM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SYM, with profitability holding steady.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SYM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SYM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$59.25
Downside-39%$21.54

Calculated from the latest close: $35.44 on Nov 12.

SYM trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.73+17%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

SYM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.37Q4 2023: $-0.28Q1 2024: $-0.27Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.09Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.11Q1 2026: $-0.06Q2 2026: $0.08Forward: $0.43
Q3 2023: $-0.37Q4 2023: $-0.28Q1 2024: $-0.27Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.14Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.09Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.11Q1 2026: $-0.06Q2 2026: $0.08Forward: $0.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.43+438%
Q2 2026$0.08+$0.17
Q1 2026-$0.06+$0.03
Q4 2025-$0.11+$0.03
Q3 2025-$0.16-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.09+$0.16
Q1 2025-$0.09+$0.18
Q4 2024-$0.14+$0.14
Q3 2024-$0.14+$0.23

SYM has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

SYM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $392MQ4 2023: $360MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $470MQ3 2024: $565MQ4 2024: $487MQ1 2025: $550MQ2 2025: $592MQ3 2025: $618MQ4 2025: $630MQ1 2026: $676MQ2 2026: $721M
Q3 2023: $392MQ4 2023: $360MQ1 2024: $393MQ2 2024: $470MQ3 2024: $565MQ4 2024: $487MQ1 2025: $550MQ2 2025: $592MQ3 2025: $618MQ4 2025: $630MQ1 2026: $676MQ2 2026: $721M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$720.8M+22%
Q1 2026$676.5M+23%
Q4 2025$630M+29%
Q3 2025$618.5M+9.5%
Q2 2025$592.1M+26%
Q1 2025$549.7M+40%
Q4 2024$486.7M+35%
Q3 2024$564.6M+44%

SYM has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over SYM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SYM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $49MQ4 2023: −$32MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: −$120MQ4 2024: $198MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: −$138MQ3 2025: $531MQ4 2025: $192MQ1 2026: $261MQ2 2026: −$147M
Q3 2023: $49MQ4 2023: −$32MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: −$120MQ4 2024: $198MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: −$138MQ3 2025: $531MQ4 2025: $192MQ1 2026: $261MQ2 2026: −$147M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$147.3M-$9M
Q1 2026$261.3M-3.1%
Q4 2025$191.5M-3.1%
Q3 2025$530.7M+$650.8M
Q2 2025-$138.3M-512%
Q1 2025$269.6M+1351%
Q4 2024$197.7M+$230M
Q3 2024-$120.1M-344%

SYM usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$147M, but it generated $836M over the past year.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over SYM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SYM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 64MQ4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 96MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 108MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 109MQ4 2025: 128MQ1 2026: 134MQ2 2026: 133M
Q3 2023: 64MQ4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 93MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 96MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 108MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 109MQ4 2025: 128MQ1 2026: 134MQ2 2026: 133M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1.1M shares
1 year+22%+24.1M shares
3 years+116%+71.5M shares

SYM has 133M diluted shares, up 22% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

SYM Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -29.4x
Q2 2026: -29.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-29.4xNet Cash

SYM has the edge over CAT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SYM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.1Neutral
Stochastic19.4Oversold

SYM's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.1% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT has the edge over SYM on valuation relative to its sector.

SYM PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSYMSector medianRelative
PE443x24x1,744% above

SYM is trading at 443x earnings, a 1744% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over SYM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SYM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.711% below
20 week MA$41.014% below
50 week MA$49.128% below
100 week MA$44.420% below
200 week MA$39.611% below

SYM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over SYM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SYM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.4$9.97-4.5%
2022$9.97$11.0+11%
2023$11.0$51.3+366%
2024$51.3$24.1-53%
2025$24.1$58.0+141%
2026 YTD$58.0$35.4-39%

SYM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +366% in 2023 to −53% in 2024. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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