CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

SMX

SMX (Security Matters) Public Limited Company

There isn't enough reported data to score SMX yet.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SMX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

SMX's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605โ€”
Current24x$605โ€”
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

SMX PE Valuation

SMX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SMX Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SMX to show an outlook.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and SMX's risk to reward.

SMX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $4.84 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and SMX's risk to reward.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

SMX Earnings Per Share

Q1 2022: $-1,554,486,253.95Q2 2022: $-4,270,865,533.93Q3 2022: $-8,823,721,464.26
Q1 2022: $-1,554,486,253.95Q2 2022: $-4,270,865,533.93Q3 2022: $-8,823,721,464.26

SMX and CAT do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMX Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2021: $0Q2 2021: $0Q3 2021: $0Q4 2021: $0Q1 2022: $0Q2 2022: $0Q3 2022: $0Q2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q2 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q2 2026: $0
Q1 2021: $0Q2 2021: $0Q3 2021: $0Q4 2021: $0Q1 2022: $0Q2 2022: $0Q3 2022: $0Q2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q2 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q2 2026: $0

SMX's revenue is shrinking: $0 last quarter.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

SMX Free Cash Flow

Q1 2021: โˆ’$270Q2 2021: โˆ’$380Q3 2021: --Q4 2021: โˆ’$405,760Q1 2022: --Q2 2022: โˆ’$390,170Q3 2022: โˆ’$415,550Q2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q2 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q2 2026: --
Q1 2021: โˆ’$270Q2 2021: โˆ’$380Q3 2021: --Q4 2021: โˆ’$405,760Q1 2022: --Q2 2022: โˆ’$390,170Q3 2022: โˆ’$415,550Q2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q2 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2022-$390.2K-$389.8K
Q4 2021-$405.8K-$405.5K

SMX and CAT do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has 461M diluted shares, down 2.1% from a year ago, with $8.1B in buybacks over the past year.

SMX Total Shares

Q1 2021: 0Q2 2021: 0Q3 2021: 0Q4 2021: 0Q1 2022: 0Q2 2022: 0Q3 2022: 0Q2 2026: 0
Q1 2021: 0Q2 2021: 0Q3 2021: 0Q4 2021: 0Q1 2022: 0Q2 2022: 0Q3 2022: 0Q2 2026: 0

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

SMX Net Leverage

SMX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SMX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI11.1Oversold
Stochastic2.2Oversold

SMX's weekly RSI is 11 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

SMX PE vs Industrials Sector

SMX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has stronger trend alignment. CAT is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus SMX above 0 of 4.

SMX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.5443% below
20 week MA$31.485% below
50 week MA$12,855.4100% below
100 week MA$1,649,206.5100% below

SMX is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 100% below its 100-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over SMX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$276,812,554,412.8$2,540,300,423.6-99%
2024$2,540,300,423.6$16,736,702.2-99%
2025$16,736,702.2$77,905.1-100%
2026 YTD$77,905.1$4.84-100%

SMX has finished every year since 2023 lower, and it's down 100% so far in 2026.

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