CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
SMR
NuScale Power Corporation
SMR offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SMR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
SMR PE Valuation
SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SMR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SMR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.72 | +$2.14 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.46 | -$1.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.46 | -$1.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.43 | -$0.96 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.86 | -$1.91 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.19 | -$0.16 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.37 | -$0.52 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.47 | -$0.67 |
SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over SMR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SMR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $281K | -97% |
| Q2 2026 | $75K | -99% |
| Q1 2026 | $565K | -96% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8M | -95% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.2M | +1635% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.1M | +733% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.4M | +870% |
| Q4 2024 | $34.2M | +651% |
SMR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $281,000 last quarter, down 97% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -23068% | -16535 points |
| Q2 2026 | -85337% | -84802 points |
| Q1 2026 | -10181% | -9917 points |
| Q4 2025 | -4022% | -3988 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6533% | +2103 points |
| Q2 2025 | -535% | +3796 points |
| Q1 2025 | -264% | +2925 points |
| Q4 2024 | -35% | +1524 points |
SMR's operating margin was −23068% last quarter, down 16535 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2022.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 39% versus its history, compared with SMR at down 161%.
SMR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$58.6M | -$25.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$316.2M | -$293.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$204.1M | -$177.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$33.3M | +$2.7M |
| Q1 2025 | -$22.9M | +$10.6M |
| Q4 2024 | -$26.5M | +$46.8M |
| Q3 2024 | -$12.7M | +$15M |
| Q2 2024 | -$36M | +$4.5M |
SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$608M over the past year, against −$95M the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
SMR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +45.9M shares |
| 1 year | +178% | +263M shares |
| 3 years | +448% | +336M shares |
SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has more cash than debt.
SMR Net Leverage
SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
SMR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.5 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 8.6 | Oversold |
SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
SMR PE vs Utilities Sector
SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SMR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.26 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.88 | 39% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.4 | 58% below |
| 100 week MA | $20.2 | 76% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.4 | 67% below |
SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SMR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.1 | $10.3 | +1.2% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $10.1 | -1.9% |
| 2022 | $10.1 | $10.1 | +0.5% |
| 2023 | $10.1 | $3.29 | -67% |
| 2024 | $3.29 | $19.5 | +493% |
| 2025 | $19.5 | $14.9 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.9 | $4.82 | -68% |
SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to −67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.