CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over SMHI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
SMHI
SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc.
SMHI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SMHI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
SMHI's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
SMHI PE Valuation
SMHI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SMHI Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for SMHI to show an outlook.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over SMHI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SMHI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.44 | -$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.73 | +$1.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.11 | +$1.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$1.76 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.41 | +$0.25 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.35 | -$1.25 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.54 | -$1.72 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.82 | -$2.48 |
SMHI is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.44 per share over the past year, against $3.96 at its worst in late 2019.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over SMHI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over SMHI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SMHI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $57.3M | -3.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $54.6M | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $44.3M | -20% |
| Q4 2025 | $52.3M | -25% |
| Q3 2025 | $59.2M | -14% |
| Q2 2025 | $60.8M | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $55.5M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.8M | -9.4% |
SMHI's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $57M last quarter, down 3.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4% | -33 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | -14% | -4.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -9.9% | -25 points |
| Q3 2025 | 31% | +40 points |
| Q2 2025 | 10% | +16 points |
| Q1 2025 | -9.5% | +7.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | -14 points |
SMHI's operating margin was −2.4% last quarter, down 33 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over SMHI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SMHI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$10.2M | +$9.8M |
| Q2 2026 | -$19.6M | -$7.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$21.2M | +$11M |
| Q4 2025 | -$20.6M | -474% |
| Q3 2025 | -$20M | -4909% |
| Q2 2025 | -$12.3M | +$615K |
| Q1 2025 | -$32.3M | -$21.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $5.5M | +$10.6M |
SMHI has burned cash in most quarters: −$72M over the past year, against −$59M the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over SMHI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
SMHI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -196K shares |
| 1 year | +1% | +269K shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -1M shares |
| 5 years | +2.5% | +642K shares |
| Available history | +11% | +2.6M shares |
SMHI has 26M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over SMHI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SMHI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.4x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 5.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 6.9x | High |
SMHI's net debt is about 6.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.2 years a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
SMHI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 60.0 | Neutral |
SMHI's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
SMHI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | SMHI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
SMHI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
SMHI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.72 | 0.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.88 | 1.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.81 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.87 | 27% above |
| 200 week MA | $8.96 | 2.6% below |
SMHI has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
SMHI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13.9 | $2.80 | -80% |
| 2021 | $2.80 | $3.32 | +19% |
| 2022 | $3.32 | $9.39 | +183% |
| 2023 | $9.39 | $12.6 | +34% |
| 2024 | $12.6 | $6.22 | -51% |
| 2025 | $6.22 | $6.21 | -0.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.21 | $8.73 | +41% |
SMHI has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.