CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over SIF overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
SIF
SIFCO Industries, Inc.
SIF trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SIF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
SIF's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT has the edge over SIF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SIF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.5x | $2.25 | -87% |
| Fair | 7.1x | $4.57 | -73% |
| Expensive | 26x | $16.68 | -0.8% |
| Current | 26x | $16.81 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SIF's PE is in its expensive range at 26x.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SIF Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for SIF to show an outlook.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
SIF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.64 | +$0.77 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.21 | +$1.89 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.55 | +$1.26 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.12 | +$0.78 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.13 | +$1.21 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.68 | +$0.78 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.71 | +$0.89 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.90 | +$0.57 |
SIF has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over SIF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over SIF on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SIF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $26.1M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.4M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $24M | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.8M | +5.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.1M | -24% |
| Q1 2025 | $19M | -28% |
| Q4 2024 | $20.9M | -0.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $21.7M | -12% |
SIF's revenue is recovering but still below its 2019 peak: $26M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.1% | -14 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1.7% | +13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q1 2025 | -4.1% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -9.2% | +4.5 points |
| Q3 2024 | -14% | -4.1 points |
SIF's operating margin was 1.1% last quarter, down 14 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
SIF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$2.1M | -792% |
| Q1 2026 | -$3M | -212% |
| Q4 2025 | $8M | +$11.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $566K | -76% |
| Q2 2025 | $310K | +$658K |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7M | +$6.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.9M | -$1.3M |
| Q3 2024 | $2.4M | +563% |
SIF has burned cash in most quarters: $3M over the past year, up 133% from the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over SIF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
SIF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -55K shares |
| 1 year | -0.1% | -7K shares |
| 3 years | +3.2% | +191K shares |
| 5 years | +2.1% | +125K shares |
| Available history | +10% | +565K shares |
SIF has 6M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q3 2019 | — |
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over SIF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SIF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 11.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 112.5x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 31.8x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 118.2x | High |
SIF's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
SIF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.2 | Oversold |
SIF's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT has the edge over SIF on valuation relative to its sector.
SIF PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | SIF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 24x | 9.1% above |
| PE % | 84 | 58 | 26 pts above |
SIF is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
SIF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.5 | 18% below |
| 20 week MA | $22.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $16.7 | 0.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $10.6 | 58% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.99 | 140% above |
SIF has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
SIF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $3.98 | $5.30 | +33% |
| 2021 | $5.30 | $6.00 | +13% |
| 2022 | $6.00 | $2.40 | -60% |
| 2023 | $2.40 | $4.54 | +89% |
| 2024 | $4.54 | $3.65 | -20% |
| 2025 | $3.65 | $5.43 | +49% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.43 | $16.8 | +210% |
SIF has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.