CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SHIP
Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp.
SHIP has the edge over CAT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SHIP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
SHIP's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
SHIP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.1x | $8.79 | -44% |
| Current | 5.5x | $15.58 | — |
| Forward | 5.5x | $15.58 | — |
| Fair | 9.8x | $28.08 | +80% |
| Expensive | 14x | $41.38 | +166% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHIP has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
CAT has the edge over SHIP on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
SHIP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect SHIP's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.73 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
SHIP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.82 | -1.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.86 | +281% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.79 | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.00 | -52% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.73 | -69% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.75 | -47% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +56% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.09 | +4080% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.32 | +$2.81 |
SHIP has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT's operating margin was 20% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SHIP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $55.7M | +49% |
| Q1 2026 | $42.9M | +77% |
| Q4 2025 | $49.4M | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $47M | +5.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.5M | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $24.2M | -37% |
| Q4 2024 | $41.7M | +5.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $44.4M | +81% |
SHIP's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $56M last quarter, up 49% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 47% | +25 points |
| Q1 2026 | 27% | +35 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | 34% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 22% | -23 points |
| Q1 2025 | -7% | -46 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | -11 points |
| Q3 2024 | 40% | +40 points |
SHIP has the edge over CAT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
SHIP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$7.6M | -192% |
| Q1 2026 | -$19.6M | +$8.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $26.5M | +$39.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $10.8M | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.2M | +$21.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$28M | -294% |
| Q4 2024 | -$13.1M | -156% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.3M | +122% |
SHIP's free cash flow has turned positive again: $10M over the past year, against −$20M the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over SHIP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
SHIP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +177K shares |
| 1 year | +3.2% | +664K shares |
| 3 years | +7.4% | +1.5M shares |
| 5 years | +23% | +3.9M shares |
| Available history | +2117046% | +21.1M shares |
SHIP has 21M diluted shares, up 3.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $2M |
| Q3 2024 | $1M |
SHIP hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over SHIP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SHIP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q3 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
SHIP's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.3 years a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
SHIP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.7 | Oversold |
SHIP's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.1% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
SHIP PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | SHIP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.5x | 24x | 77% below |
| PE % | 33 | 58 | 25 pts below |
SHIP has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
SHIP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $16.0 | 2.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $16.5 | 5.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $14.3 | 9.3% above |
| 100 week MA | $10.7 | 45% above |
| 200 week MA | $9.14 | 70% above |
SHIP has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
SHIP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $81.4 | $5.04 | -94% |
| 2021 | $5.04 | $9.12 | +81% |
| 2022 | $9.12 | $5.74 | -37% |
| 2023 | $5.74 | $7.83 | +36% |
| 2024 | $7.83 | $6.72 | -14% |
| 2025 | $6.72 | $9.45 | +41% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.45 | $15.6 | +65% |
SHIP has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.