CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over SHIM overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

SHIM

Shimmick Corporation Common Stock

56
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

SHIM offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SHIM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

SHIM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

SHIM PE Valuation

SHIM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.7x next year's earnings.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SHIM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SHIM to return to profit, with revenue growing.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SHIM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SHIM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+74%$4.06
Downside-42%$1.35

Calculated from the latest close: $2.34 on Nov 12.

SHIM trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

SHIM Earnings Per Share

Forward: $0.27
Forward: $0.27

SHIM and CAT do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over SHIM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SHIM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $120MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $166MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $122MQ3 2025: $128MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $107MQ4 2026: $136M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $120MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $166MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $122MQ3 2025: $128MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $107MQ4 2026: $136M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$135.8M-4.3%
Q2 2026$106.6M-17%
Q1 2026$88M-28%
Q4 2025$100.4M-3%
Q3 2025$141.9M-15%
Q2 2025$128.4M+42%
Q1 2025$122.1M+1.7%
Q4 2024$103.6M-25%

SHIM's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $136M last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over SHIM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SHIM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: −$40MQ2 2024: −$47MQ3 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: −$39MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: $109,000Q2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$17MQ4 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: −$40MQ2 2024: −$47MQ3 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: −$39MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: $109,000Q2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$17MQ4 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9M+$37.8M
Q2 2026-$17.1M-$13M
Q1 2026-$8.1M+$30.6M
Q4 2025$109K-100%
Q3 2025-$28.7M-379%
Q2 2025-$4.2M+$42.7M
Q1 2025-$38.7M+$879K
Q4 2024$44.4M+$68.6M

SHIM has burned cash in most quarters: −$16M over the past year, against −$27M the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has 461M diluted shares, down 2.1% from a year ago, with $8.1B in buybacks over the past year.

SHIM Total Shares

PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-14%-3.6M shares
1 year-14%-3.6M shares

SHIM has the edge over CAT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over SHIM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SHIM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.0xQ3 2026: 15.2xQ4 2026: 4.0x
Q4 2023: -2.0xQ3 2026: 15.2xQ4 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xHigh
Q2 202615.2xHigh
Q4 2023-2.0xNet Cash
Q3 2023-1.4xNet Cash

SHIM's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SHIM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.7Neutral
Stochastic8.9Oversold

SHIM's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

SHIM PE vs Industrials Sector

SHIM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has stronger trend alignment. CAT is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus SHIM above 0 of 4.

SHIM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.6712% below
20 week MA$3.3330% below
50 week MA$3.6336% below
100 week MA$2.9120% below

SHIM is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 100-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over SHIM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SHIM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$6.70$6.60-1.5%
2024$6.60$3.15-52%
2025$3.15$3.19+1.3%
2026 YTD$3.19$2.34-27%

SHIM has finished lower in two of the last three years. It's down 27% so far in 2026.

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