CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

PWR

Quanta Services, Inc.

71
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

PWR has the edge over CAT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PWR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

PWR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT has the edge over PWR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PWR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x55x82x110x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x55x82x110x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap26x$287-53%
Forward30x$606—
Fair46x$512-15%
Current55x$606—
Expensive62x$690+14%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PWR's PE is in its expensive range at 55x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PWR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PWR, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT trails PWR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PWR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$1,015.76
Downside-11%$538.39

Calculated from the latest close: $606.16 on Nov 12.

PWR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CAT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

PWR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.00Q1 2024: $5.15Q2 2024: $5.29Q3 2024: $5.41Q4 2024: $6.03Q1 2025: $6.20Q2 2025: $6.46Q3 2025: $6.75Q4 2025: $6.80Q1 2026: $7.29Q2 2026: $8.73Q3 2026: $11.04Forward: $20.51
Q4 2023: $5.00Q1 2024: $5.15Q2 2024: $5.29Q3 2024: $5.41Q4 2024: $6.03Q1 2025: $6.20Q2 2025: $6.46Q3 2025: $6.75Q4 2025: $6.80Q1 2026: $7.29Q2 2026: $8.73Q3 2026: $11.04Forward: $20.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.51+86%
Q3 2026$11.04+64%
Q2 2026$8.73+35%
Q1 2026$7.29+18%
Q4 2025$6.80+13%
Q3 2025$6.75+25%
Q2 2025$6.46+22%
Q1 2025$6.20+20%
Q4 2024$6.03+21%

PWR has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

PWR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.8BQ1 2024: $5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: $6.5BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $6.2BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $7.6BQ4 2025: $7.8BQ1 2026: $7.9BQ2 2026: $9.6BQ3 2026: $12B
Q4 2023: $5.8BQ1 2024: $5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: $6.5BQ4 2024: $6.6BQ1 2025: $6.2BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $7.6BQ4 2025: $7.8BQ1 2026: $7.9BQ2 2026: $9.6BQ3 2026: $12B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12B+57%
Q2 2026$9.6B+41%
Q1 2026$7.9B+26%
Q4 2025$7.8B+20%
Q3 2025$7.6B+18%
Q2 2025$6.8B+21%
Q1 2025$6.2B+24%
Q4 2024$6.6B+13%

PWR has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

PWR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $894MQ1 2024: $155MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $527MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: $110MQ2 2025: $155MQ3 2025: $421MQ4 2025: $934MQ1 2026: $172MQ2 2026: $864MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $894MQ1 2024: $155MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $527MQ4 2024: $565MQ1 2025: $110MQ2 2025: $155MQ3 2025: $421MQ4 2025: $934MQ1 2026: $172MQ2 2026: $864MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+182%
Q2 2026$864.5M+456%
Q1 2026$171.7M+55%
Q4 2025$934M+65%
Q3 2025$421M-20%
Q2 2025$155.4M-32%
Q1 2025$110.4M-29%
Q4 2024$565M-37%

PWR has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over PWR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PWR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 149MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 151MQ4 2024: 150MQ1 2025: 151MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 151MQ4 2025: 151MQ1 2026: 152MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 153M
Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 149MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 151MQ4 2024: 150MQ1 2025: 151MQ2 2025: 151MQ3 2025: 151MQ4 2025: 151MQ1 2026: 152MQ2 2026: 152MQ3 2026: 153M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+254K shares
1 year+0.8%+1.2M shares
3 years+2.6%+3.9M shares
5 years+5.8%+8.4M shares
Available history+3.5%+5.2M shares

PWR has 153M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over PWR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PWR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.1xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.8xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.1xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20262.1xModerate
Q4 20252.2xModerate
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.8xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

PWR's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.0 years a year ago.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

PWR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic37.2Neutral

PWR's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT has the edge over PWR on valuation relative to its sector.

PWR PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricPWRSector medianRelative
PE55x24x128% above
PE %715813 pts above

PWR is trading at 55x earnings, a 128% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

PWR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$622.22.6% below
20 week MA$636.94.8% below
50 week MA$599.61.1% above
100 week MA$476.227% above
200 week MA$350.073% above

PWR has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

PWR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.8$70.9+74%
2021$70.9$111.9+58%
2022$111.9$144.2+29%
2023$144.2$215.8+50%
2024$215.8$323.1+50%
2025$323.1$432.7+34%
2026 YTD$432.7$606.2+40%

PWR has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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