CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over PPSI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
PPSI
Pioneer Power Solutions, Inc.
PPSI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PPSI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
PPSI's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
PPSI PE Valuation
PPSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PPSI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect PPSI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.73 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over PPSI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
PPSI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.75 | -125% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.68 | -123% |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.54 | -119% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.89 | +$3.74 |
| Q2 2025 | $3.00 | +$3.65 |
| Q1 2025 | $2.91 | +$3.38 |
| Q4 2024 | $2.90 | +$3.26 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.85 | -572% |
PPSI has swung to a loss: it lost $0.75 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over PPSI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over PPSI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PPSI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.7M | -44% |
| Q1 2026 | $4M | -41% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.6M | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.9M | -37% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.4M | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.7M | -22% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.3M | -38% |
| Q3 2024 | $10.9M | -12% |
PPSI's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $5M last quarter, down 44% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -43% | -22 points |
| Q1 2026 | -50% | -16 points |
| Q4 2025 | -19% | +60 points |
| Q3 2025 | -21% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | -20% | +16 points |
| Q1 2025 | -35% | -22 points |
| Q4 2024 | -79% | -19 points |
| Q3 2024 | -10% | -18 points |
PPSI's operating margin was −43% last quarter, down 22 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over PPSI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
PPSI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$2.8M | +$2.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1M | -223% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.2M | +$2.4M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6M | +$1.8M |
| Q2 2025 | -$5.6M | -3400% |
| Q1 2025 | $907K | +$3.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.6M | -$758K |
| Q3 2024 | -$3.4M | -$1.3M |
PPSI has burned cash in most quarters: −$8M over the past year, against −$13M the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over PPSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
PPSI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +678 shares |
| 1 year | -0.1% | -7.8K shares |
| 3 years | +12% | +1.2M shares |
| 5 years | +27% | +2.4M shares |
| Available history | +27% | +2.4M shares |
PPSI has 11M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has more cash than debt.
PPSI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2023 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
PPSI has more cash than debt.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
PPSI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.7 | Oversold |
PPSI's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.1% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
PPSI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | PPSI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
PPSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over PPSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PPSI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.74 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.98 | 25% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.59 | 38% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.55 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $4.38 | 49% below |
PPSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over PPSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PPSI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.16 | $4.28 | +98% |
| 2021 | $4.28 | $7.99 | +87% |
| 2022 | $7.99 | $2.55 | -68% |
| 2023 | $2.55 | $6.79 | +166% |
| 2024 | $6.79 | $4.08 | -40% |
| 2025 | $4.08 | $4.63 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.63 | $2.23 | -52% |
PPSI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +166% in 2023 to −68% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.