CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

POLA

Polar Power, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score POLA yet.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

POLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable
Strong

POLA's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605โ€”
Current24x$605โ€”
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

POLA PE Valuation

POLA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

POLA Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for POLA to show an outlook.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and POLA's risk to reward.

POLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and POLA's risk to reward.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the edge over POLA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

POLA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.55Q4 2023: $-3.43Q1 2024: $-3.64Q2 2024: $-3.22Q3 2024: $-2.24Q4 2024: $-1.86Q1 2025: $-1.52Q2 2025: $-1.84Q3 2025: $-3.47Q4 2025: $-3.59Q1 2026: $-3.14Q2 2026: $-3.52
Q3 2023: $-2.55Q4 2023: $-3.43Q1 2024: $-3.64Q2 2024: $-3.22Q3 2024: $-2.24Q4 2024: $-1.86Q1 2025: $-1.52Q2 2025: $-1.84Q3 2025: $-3.47Q4 2025: $-3.59Q1 2026: $-3.14Q2 2026: $-3.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$3.52-$1.68
Q1 2026-$3.14-$1.62
Q4 2025-$3.59-$1.73
Q3 2025-$3.47-$1.23
Q2 2025-$1.84+$1.38
Q1 2025-$1.52+$2.12
Q4 2024-$1.86+$1.57
Q3 2024-$2.24+$0.31

POLA is still losing money, but far less than before: $3.52 per share over the past year, against $7.98 at its worst in late 2020.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over POLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

POLA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $600,000Q1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $1M
Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $600,000Q1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $1M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1M-62%
Q1 2026$1.7M+0.3%
Q4 2025$600K-77%
Q3 2025$1.3M-74%
Q2 2025$2.7M-42%
Q1 2025$1.7M-2.9%
Q4 2024$2.6M-27%
Q3 2024$4.9M+157%

POLA's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $1M last quarter, down 62% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

POLA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$280,000Q4 2023: โˆ’$346,000Q1 2024: โˆ’$989,000Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$590,000Q4 2024: โˆ’$137,000Q1 2025: โˆ’$584,000Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: โˆ’$2MQ2 2026: $20,000
Q3 2023: โˆ’$280,000Q4 2023: โˆ’$346,000Q1 2024: โˆ’$989,000Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$590,000Q4 2024: โˆ’$137,000Q1 2025: โˆ’$584,000Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: โˆ’$2MQ2 2026: $20,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026-$2.2M-$1.6M
Q1 2025-$584K+$405K
Q4 2024-$137K+$209K
Q3 2024-$590K-$310K
Q4 2023-$346K+$1.6M
Q3 2023-$280K+$2M
Q4 2022-$2M+$572K
Q2 2022-$1.5M+$1.3M

POLA has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$3M over the past year, against โˆ’$2M the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over POLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

POLA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 4M
Q3 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 4M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7%+243K shares
1 year+48%+1.2M shares
3 years+102%+1.9M shares
5 years+141%+2.2M shares
Available history+157%+2.3M shares

POLA has 4M diluted shares, up 48% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

POLA Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2019-2.4xNet Cash

POLA has more cash than debt.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

POLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI20.7Oversold
Stochastic1.9Oversold

POLA's weekly RSI is 21 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 2 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

POLA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricPOLASector medianRelative
PEN/A24xโ€”

POLA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over POLA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

POLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.7965% below
20 week MA$1.2477% below
50 week MA$1.5682% below
100 week MA$2.0786% below
200 week MA$3.8693% below

POLA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 93% below its 200-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over POLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

POLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.2$37.8+120%
2021$37.8$28.0-26%
2022$28.0$10.2-64%
2023$10.2$2.85-72%
2024$2.85$2.78-2.5%
2025$2.78$1.81-35%
2026 YTD$1.81$0.28-85%

POLA has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 85% so far in 2026.

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