CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over PL overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

PL

Planet Labs PBC

58
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

PL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Stable
Unavailable

PL's revenue is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

PL PE Valuation

PL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PL's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+91%$26.56
Downside-47%$7.39

Calculated from the latest close: $13.90 on Nov 12.

PL trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $29.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.73+17%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the edge over PL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

PL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.54Q1 2024: $-0.50Q2 2024: $-0.47Q3 2024: $-0.46Q4 2024: $-0.40Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.36Q3 2025: $-0.30Q4 2025: $-0.42Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-1.16Q3 2026: $-1.12
Q4 2023: $-0.54Q1 2024: $-0.50Q2 2024: $-0.47Q3 2024: $-0.46Q4 2024: $-0.40Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.36Q3 2025: $-0.30Q4 2025: $-0.42Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-1.16Q3 2026: $-1.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.12-$0.82
Q2 2026-$1.16-$0.80
Q1 2026-$0.80-$0.38
Q4 2025-$0.42-$0.02
Q3 2025-$0.30+$0.16
Q2 2025-$0.36+$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.42+$0.08
Q4 2024-$0.40+$0.14

PL lost $1.12 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

PL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $87MQ2 2026: $94MQ3 2026: $116M
Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $66MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: $87MQ2 2026: $94MQ3 2026: $116M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$116.1M+58%
Q2 2026$94.2M+42%
Q1 2026$86.8M+41%
Q4 2025$81.3M+33%
Q3 2025$73.4M+20%
Q2 2025$66.3M+9.6%
Q1 2025$61.6M+4.6%
Q4 2024$61.3M+11%

PL has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

PL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$30MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: −$23MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$951,000Q2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: −$30MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: −$23MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$951,000Q2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.6M-46%
Q2 2026-$1.9M-120%
Q1 2026-$951K+$16.9M
Q4 2025$1.9M+$5.4M
Q3 2025$47.5M+$70.5M
Q2 2025$9.2M+$23.5M
Q1 2025-$17.9M-$2.2M
Q4 2024-$3.6M+$26.7M

PL has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over PL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 284MQ1 2024: 280MQ2 2024: 288MQ3 2024: 290MQ4 2024: 293MQ1 2025: 292MQ2 2025: 300MQ3 2025: 304MQ4 2025: 309MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 346MQ3 2026: 360M
Q4 2023: 284MQ1 2024: 280MQ2 2024: 288MQ3 2024: 290MQ4 2024: 293MQ1 2025: 292MQ2 2025: 300MQ3 2025: 304MQ4 2025: 309MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 346MQ3 2026: 360M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.1%+14.1M shares
1 year+18%+55.5M shares
3 years+31%+84.5M shares

PL has 360M diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

PL Net Leverage

PL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

PL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.9Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

PL's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.1% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

PL PE vs Industrials Sector

PL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over PL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.96.6% below
20 week MA$19.127% below
50 week MA$25.245% below
100 week MA$16.013% below
200 week MA$9.4248% above

PL has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 48% above its 200-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over PL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.92$7.11-28%
2022$7.11$4.51-37%
2023$4.51$2.47-45%
2024$2.47$4.38+77%
2025$4.38$19.4+342%
2026 YTD$19.4$13.9-28%

PL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +342% in 2025 to −45% in 2023. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

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