CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

PKE

Park Aerospace Corp.

73
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

PKE has the edge over CAT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

PKE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT has the edge over PKE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x63x84x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x63x84x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$19.70-20%
Forward33x$24.70—
Current34x$24.70—
Fair37x$26.48+7.2%
Expensive54x$38.58+56%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PKE's PE is in its fair range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

CAT has the edge over PKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

PKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PKE, with profitability improving.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PKE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$37.17
Downside-11%$21.91

Calculated from the latest close: $24.70 on Nov 12.

PKE trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

PKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.37Q2 2024: $0.33Q3 2024: $0.34Q4 2024: $0.36Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.63Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $0.75
Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.37Q2 2024: $0.33Q3 2024: $0.34Q4 2024: $0.36Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.43Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.63Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $0.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.75+4.2%
Q3 2026$0.72+100%
Q2 2026$0.63+85%
Q1 2026$0.56+93%
Q4 2025$0.43+19%
Q3 2025$0.36+5.9%
Q2 2025$0.34+3%
Q1 2025$0.29-22%
Q4 2024$0.36-23%

PKE has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

PKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.8M+27%
Q2 2026$18.3M+19%
Q1 2026$24.2M+43%
Q4 2025$17.3M+20%
Q3 2025$16.4M-2%
Q2 2025$15.4M+10%
Q1 2025$16.9M+3.7%
Q4 2024$14.4M+24%

PKE has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

PKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: −$435,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $338,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: −$435,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $338,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.8M+$494K
Q2 2026$2.6M+135%
Q1 2026$6.4M+1788%
Q4 2025$4.3M+60%
Q3 2025-$2.3M-284%
Q2 2025$1.1M+$1.5M
Q1 2025$338K-93%
Q4 2024$2.7M+62%

PKE has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over PKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+692K shares
1 year+9.7%+1.9M shares
3 years+6.8%+1.4M shares
5 years+5.8%+1.2M shares
Available history+6.3%+1.3M shares

PKE has 22M diluted shares, up 9.7% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

PKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -1.2xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -3.7xQ1 2026: -5.1xQ2 2026: -4.7xQ3 2026: -5.2x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -1.2xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -3.7xQ1 2026: -5.1xQ2 2026: -4.7xQ3 2026: -5.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-5.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.2xNet Cash

PKE has the edge over CAT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

PKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.5Neutral
Stochastic8.8Oversold

PKE's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT has the edge over PKE on valuation relative to its sector.

PKE PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricPKESector medianRelative
PE34x24x43% above
PE %415817 pts below

PKE is trading at 34x earnings, a 43% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

PKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.67.1% below
20 week MA$31.020% below
50 week MA$29.215% below
100 week MA$22.69.5% above
200 week MA$18.434% above

PKE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 34% above its 200-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

PKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.2$13.2-18%
2021$13.2$13.2+0.1%
2022$13.2$11.6-13%
2023$11.6$14.7+27%
2024$14.7$14.5-1.2%
2025$14.5$21.4+47%
2026 YTD$21.4$24.7+16%

PKE has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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