CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has a slight edge over PANL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
PANL
Pangaea Logistics Solutions, Ltd.
PANL offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
PANL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable | |
| Strong |
PANL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT has the edge over PANL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PANL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.3x | $3.76 | -60% |
| Fair | 8.3x | $9.43 | -0.4% |
| Current | 8.3x | $9.46 | — |
| Forward | 9.3x | $9.46 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $15.73 | +66% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PANL's PE is in its fair range at 8.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.3x.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
CAT has the edge over PANL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
PANL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PANL, with profitability improving.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
PANL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.02 | -11% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.14 | +268% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.74 | +222% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.54 | +54% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.30 | -52% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.31 | -34% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.23 | -71% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.35 | -54% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.63 | +6.8% |
PANL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.14 over the past year, against $1.95 in mid-2022.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over PANL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PANL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $219.1M | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $187.1M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $170.6M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $183.9M | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $168.7M | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $156.7M | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.8M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $147.2M | +12% |
PANL has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +9.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +9.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.1% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.5% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 10% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3% | -3.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4% | -8.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | +2 points |
PANL's operating margin was 20% last quarter, up 9.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
PANL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $57.3M | +100% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.4M | +49% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.5M | +$8.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $28.6M | +0.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.4M | +61% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4M | -148% |
| Q3 2024 | $28.5M | +75% |
| Q2 2024 | $9M | +346% |
PANL has the edge over CAT in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over PANL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
PANL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -124K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +78.3K shares |
| 3 years | +44% | +19.8M shares |
| 5 years | +45% | +20.2M shares |
| Available history | +50% | +21.6M shares |
PANL has 65M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over PANL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PANL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.2x | Moderate |
PANL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
PANL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.6 | Neutral |
PANL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
PANL PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | PANL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.3x | 24x | 66% below |
| PE % | 50 | 58 | 8 pts below |
PANL has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
PANL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.16 | 16% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.88 | 20% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.70 | 23% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.39 | 48% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.58 | 44% above |
PANL has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
PANL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.96 | $2.69 | -9.1% |
| 2021 | $2.69 | $3.71 | +38% |
| 2022 | $3.71 | $5.22 | +41% |
| 2023 | $5.22 | $8.24 | +58% |
| 2024 | $8.24 | $4.89 | -41% |
| 2025 | $4.89 | $6.91 | +41% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.91 | $9.46 | +37% |
PANL has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.