CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over OMAB overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

OMAB

Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.

58
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

OMAB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OMAB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

OMAB's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

OMAB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x72x95x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x72x95x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$81.01-26%
Fair18x$107-2.8%
Current18x$110—
Expensive26x$156+42%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OMAB has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

CAT has the edge over OMAB on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

OMAB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect OMAB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OMAB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OMAB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$139.14
Downside-21%$86.87

Calculated from the latest close: $109.79 on Nov 12.

OMAB trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

OMAB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.51Q1 2024: $5.52Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.66Q4 2024: $5.65Q1 2025: $5.90Q2 2025: $5.81Q3 2025: $5.87Q4 2025: $5.84Q1 2026: $5.81Q2 2026: $6.01Q3 2026: $6.05
Q4 2023: $5.51Q1 2024: $5.52Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.66Q4 2024: $5.65Q1 2025: $5.90Q2 2025: $5.81Q3 2025: $5.87Q4 2025: $5.84Q1 2026: $5.81Q2 2026: $6.01Q3 2026: $6.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$6.05+3.1%
Q2 2026$6.01+3.4%
Q1 2026$5.81-1.5%
Q4 2025$5.84+3.4%
Q3 2025$5.87+3.7%
Q2 2025$5.81+2.5%
Q1 2025$5.90+6.9%
Q4 2024$5.65+2.5%

OMAB has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

OMAB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $199MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $221MQ1 2025: $191MQ2 2025: $234MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $221MQ1 2026: $205MQ2 2026: $240MQ3 2026: $257M
Q4 2023: $199MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $221MQ1 2025: $191MQ2 2025: $234MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $221MQ1 2026: $205MQ2 2026: $240MQ3 2026: $257M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$257M+22%
Q2 2026$239.7M+2.6%
Q1 2026$204.8M+6.9%
Q4 2025$220.7M0%
Q3 2025$210.8M+6.1%
Q2 2025$233.6M+24%
Q1 2025$191.5M-5%
Q4 2024$220.8M+11%

OMAB's revenue is growing: $257M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

OMAB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $55MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $104M
Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $55MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $104M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$104.5M+39%
Q2 2026$49.4M-24%
Q1 2026$47.6M-19%
Q4 2025$95.4M+0.1%
Q3 2025$75M+38%
Q2 2025$65.1M+33%
Q1 2025$58.7M+6.4%
Q4 2024$95.3M+6.4%

OMAB has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over OMAB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OMAB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years0%--
5 years-1%-493K shares
Available history-1.3%-641K shares

OMAB has 48M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over OMAB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OMAB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.1x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.1xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

OMAB's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

OMAB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.5Neutral
Stochastic79.8Neutral

OMAB's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

OMAB PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricOMABSector medianRelative
PE18x24x25% below
PE %5858Same percentile

OMAB has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

OMAB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$100.09.8% above
20 week MA$102.47.2% above
50 week MA$108.01.6% above
100 week MA$101.08.7% above
200 week MA$88.923% above

OMAB has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over OMAB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OMAB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.9$51.1-16%
2021$51.1$53.0+3.6%
2022$53.0$65.6+24%
2023$65.6$84.6+29%
2024$84.6$69.6-18%
2025$69.6$112.8+62%
2026 YTD$112.8$109.8-2.7%

OMAB has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 2.7% so far in 2026.

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