CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over NET overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
NET offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NET Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
NET's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NET PE Valuation
NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NET Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NET, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.73 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over NET on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NET Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.75 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.68 | -$0.37 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.58 | -$0.23 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.25 | -$0.01 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.29 | -$0.06 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.31 | -$0.05 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.35 | -$0.06 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.24 | +$0.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.23 | +$0.32 |
NET is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.68 per share over the past year, against $0.91 at its worst in mid-2022.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over NET on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NET Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $782.5M | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $696.1M | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $639.8M | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $614.5M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $562M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $512.3M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $479.1M | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $459.9M | +27% |
NET has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -8.7% | -2 points |
| Q2 2026 | -30% | -16 points |
| Q1 2026 | -9.7% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6.7% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -13% | -4.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -11% | +3.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -7.5% | +4.3 points |
NET's operating margin was −8.7% last quarter, down 2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
NET Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $93.6M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $67.6M | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $93.1M | +55% |
| Q4 2025 | $105.2M | +94% |
| Q3 2025 | $82.5M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $39.9M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $59.9M | +44% |
| Q4 2024 | $54.2M | -0.9% |
NET has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over NET on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
NET Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +2.8M shares |
| 1 year | +2.2% | +7.8M shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +22.5M shares |
| 5 years | +14% | +42.6M shares |
| Available history | +144% | +211M shares |
NET has 357M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $34,000 |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has more cash than debt.
NET Net Leverage
NET's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
NET Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 37.6 | Neutral |
NET's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.1% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
NET PE vs Technology Sector
NET has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
NET Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $318.6 | 0% below |
| 20 week MA | $299.8 | 6.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $241.0 | 32% above |
| 100 week MA | $204.9 | 55% above |
| 200 week MA | $139.8 | 128% above |
NET has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
NET Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.7 | $85.0 | +409% |
| 2021 | $85.0 | $137.3 | +62% |
| 2022 | $137.3 | $43.8 | -68% |
| 2023 | $43.8 | $83.3 | +90% |
| 2024 | $83.3 | $110.6 | +33% |
| 2025 | $110.6 | $202.4 | +83% |
| 2026 YTD | $202.4 | $318.5 | +57% |
NET has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.