CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.
MSTR
Strategy Inc
There isn't enough reported data to score MSTR yet.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSTR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
MSTR's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
MSTR PE Valuation
MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSTR Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSTR to show an outlook.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.73 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over MSTR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
MSTR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$57.71 | -374% |
| Q2 2026 | -$94.04 | -960% |
| Q1 2026 | -$36.99 | -$14.75 |
| Q4 2025 | -$15.23 | -$9.17 |
| Q3 2025 | $21.07 | +$23.35 |
| Q2 2025 | $10.93 | +$12.50 |
| Q1 2025 | -$22.24 | -$21.39 |
| Q4 2024 | -$6.06 | -330% |
MSTR has swung to a loss: it lost $57.71 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over MSTR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT's operating margin was 20% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSTR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $125.4M | -2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $122.4M | +6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $124.3M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $123M | +1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $128.7M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $114.5M | +2.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $111.1M | -3.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $120.7M | -3% |
MSTR's revenue has picked up after five years of holding roughly level: $125M last quarter, down 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16671% | +13648 points |
| Q2 2026 | -6808% | -19064 points |
| Q1 2026 | -11642% | -6310 points |
| Q4 2025 | -14185% | -13343 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3023% | +3396 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12256% | +12436 points |
| Q1 2025 | -5331% | -5155 points |
| Q4 2024 | -842% | -808 points |
MSTR has the edge over CAT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over MSTR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MSTR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4M | +$15.1M |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.9M | +$31.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $13M | +$18.2M |
| Q4 2025 | -$22.2M | -$4.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.1M | +$30.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$37M | -$13M |
| Q1 2025 | -$5.1M | -119% |
| Q4 2024 | -$17.6M | -2204% |
MSTR has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$11M over the past year, against −$71M the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over MSTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
MSTR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +21% | +75.5M shares |
| 1 year | +36% | +113M shares |
| 3 years | +201% | +286M shares |
| 5 years | +328% | +328M shares |
| Available history | +314% | +325M shares |
MSTR has 428M diluted shares, up 36% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $744,000 |
| Q3 2020 | $60.6M |
| Q2 2020 | $11.1M |
| Q1 2020 | $50.7M |
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has more cash than debt.
MSTR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2020 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2020 | -11.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | -17.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | -29.1x | Net Cash |
MSTR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
MSTR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.1 | Neutral |
MSTR's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.1% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
MSTR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSTR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
MSTR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over MSTR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSTR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $141.2 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $123.6 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $138.1 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $235.9 | 52% below |
| 200 week MA | $168.2 | 32% below |
MSTR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over MSTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSTR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.5 | $32.3 | +123% |
| 2021 | $32.3 | $59.7 | +85% |
| 2022 | $59.7 | $16.3 | -73% |
| 2023 | $16.3 | $63.2 | +288% |
| 2024 | $63.2 | $330.0 | +422% |
| 2025 | $330.0 | $158.8 | -52% |
| 2026 YTD | $158.8 | $114.4 | -28% |
MSTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +422% in 2024 to −73% in 2022. It's down 28% so far in 2026.