CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over MATW overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MATW
Matthews International Corporation
MATW offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MATW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
MATW's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
MATW PE Valuation
MATW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
CAT has the edge over MATW on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
MATW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MATW's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over MATW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
MATW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | — |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.93 | +$1.19 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.31 | +$2.86 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.71 | +$2.68 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.79 | +$1.14 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.12 | -349% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.55 | -338% |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.97 | -284% |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.93 | -253% |
MATW is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.93 per share over the past year, against $5.32 at its worst in mid-2020.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over MATW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over MATW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MATW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $246M | -30% |
| Q1 2026 | $258.6M | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $284.8M | -29% |
| Q3 2025 | $318.8M | -29% |
| Q2 2025 | $349.4M | -18% |
| Q1 2025 | $427.6M | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $401.8M | -11% |
| Q3 2024 | $446.7M | -7% |
MATW's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $246M last quarter, down 30% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -5.4% | -27 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | -2.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 34% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.6% | +7.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 22% | +20 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4% | -3.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.4% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2024 | -11% | -17 points |
MATW's operating margin was −5.4% last quarter, down 27 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over MATW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MATW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.1M | +$17.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$19.5M | -$17.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$57.2M | -$22.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $903K | -96% |
| Q2 2025 | -$23.3M | -636% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.4M | -105% |
| Q4 2024 | -$34.5M | +$6.8M |
| Q3 2024 | $23.9M | +$34.8M |
MATW has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$82M over the past year, against −$36M the year before.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over MATW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
MATW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -49K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +13K shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +194K shares |
| 5 years | -2.3% | -755K shares |
| Available history | +0.1% | +22K shares |
MATW has 31M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $79,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $535,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $106,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $7.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $151,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3M |
| Q3 2024 | $49,000 |
MATW spent $6M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 52% from the year before.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over MATW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MATW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 4.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 13.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 10.0x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 8.9x | High |
MATW's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.8 years a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
MATW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.2 | Oversold |
MATW's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
MATW PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | MATW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
MATW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over MATW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MATW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $19.1 | 1.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $22.0 | 14% below |
| 50 week MA | $24.7 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $24.4 | 22% below |
| 200 week MA | $28.8 | 34% below |
MATW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% below its 200-week average.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over MATW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MATW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $37.5 | $27.9 | -25% |
| 2021 | $27.9 | $35.7 | +28% |
| 2022 | $35.7 | $30.5 | -15% |
| 2023 | $30.5 | $36.7 | +20% |
| 2024 | $36.7 | $27.8 | -24% |
| 2025 | $27.8 | $26.9 | -3.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $26.9 | $18.9 | -30% |
MATW has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 30% so far in 2026.