CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.
MARA
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc.
There isn't enough reported data to score MARA yet.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MARA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MARA's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MARA.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
MARA PE Valuation
MARA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MARA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Stable | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect MARA's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the edge over MARA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
MARA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$7.88 | -465% |
| Q2 2026 | -$8.89 | -705% |
| Q1 2026 | -$5.45 | -$4.36 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.69 | -315% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.16 | +148% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.47 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.09 | -149% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.72 | +87% |
MARA has swung to a loss: it lost $7.88 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over MARA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT's operating margin was 20% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MARA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $164.2M | -35% |
| Q2 2026 | $174.9M | -27% |
| Q1 2026 | $174.6M | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $202.3M | -5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $252.4M | +92% |
| Q2 2025 | $238.5M | +64% |
| Q1 2025 | $213.9M | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $214.4M | +37% |
MARA's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $164M last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 108% | +89 points |
| Q2 2026 | -298% | -583 points |
| Q1 2026 | -608% | -355 points |
| Q4 2025 | -697% | -856 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +150 points |
| Q2 2025 | 285% | +445 points |
| Q1 2025 | -253% | -477 points |
| Q4 2024 | 159% | +41 points |
MARA has the edge over CAT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over MARA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MARA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$263.6M | +$20.3M |
| Q2 2026 | -$238.5M | +$43.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$327M | -$72.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$389.2M | +$110.7M |
| Q3 2025 | -$283.9M | -$85.8M |
| Q2 2025 | -$282.4M | -$150M |
| Q1 2025 | -$254.3M | -$156.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$499.9M | -$407M |
MARA's free cash flow was −$1.2B over the past year, against −$1.3B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MARA.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over MARA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
MARA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +30% | +115M shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +55.5M shares |
| 3 years | +212% | +337M shares |
| 5 years | +416% | +400M shares |
MARA has 496M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $7.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $7.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $15.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $20.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $5.9M |
MARA spent $33M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 34% from the year before.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has more cash than debt.
MARA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2024 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2023 | 2.6x | Moderate |
MARA's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MARA.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
MARA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.2 | Oversold |
MARA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
MARA PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MARA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 13x | — |
MARA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over MARA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MARA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.54 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.3 | 30% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 32% below |
| 100 week MA | $13.3 | 46% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.4 | 50% below |
MARA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over MARA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MARA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0.90 | $10.9 | +1113% |
| 2021 | $10.9 | $38.1 | +249% |
| 2022 | $38.1 | $3.62 | -91% |
| 2023 | $3.62 | $23.5 | +549% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $18.4 | -21% |
| 2025 | $18.4 | $9.59 | -48% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.59 | $7.20 | -25% |
MARA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1113% in 2020 to −91% in 2022. It's down 25% so far in 2026.