CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over JELD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

JELD

JELD-WEN Holding, Inc.

47
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

JELD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

JELD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

JELD's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

JELD PE Valuation

JELD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

CAT has the edge over JELD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

JELD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect JELD's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JELD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JELD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$1.88
Downside-48%$0.51

Calculated from the latest close: $0.98 on Nov 12.

JELD trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the edge over JELD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

JELD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.73Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $-0.44Q3 2024: $-1.83Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-4.14Q2 2025: $-4.17Q3 2025: $-7.59Q4 2025: $-7.29Q1 2026: $-5.95Q2 2026: $-6.07Q3 2026: $-1.97
Q4 2023: $0.73Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $-0.44Q3 2024: $-1.83Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-4.14Q2 2025: $-4.17Q3 2025: $-7.59Q4 2025: $-7.29Q1 2026: $-5.95Q2 2026: $-6.07Q3 2026: $-1.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.97+$5.62
Q2 2026-$6.07-$1.90
Q1 2026-$5.95-$1.81
Q4 2025-$7.29-$5.07
Q3 2025-$7.59-$5.76
Q2 2025-$4.17-$3.73
Q1 2025-$4.14-1900%
Q4 2024-$2.22-404%

JELD is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.97 per share over the past year, against $7.59 at its worst in late 2025.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over JELD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JELD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $959MQ2 2024: $986MQ3 2024: $935MQ4 2024: $896MQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $824MQ3 2025: $809MQ4 2025: $802MQ1 2026: $722MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $799M
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $959MQ2 2024: $986MQ3 2024: $935MQ4 2024: $896MQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $824MQ3 2025: $809MQ4 2025: $802MQ1 2026: $722MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $799M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$798.5M-1.4%
Q2 2026$817.8M-0.7%
Q1 2026$722.1M-6.9%
Q4 2025$802M-10%
Q3 2025$809.5M-13%
Q2 2025$823.7M-16%
Q1 2025$776M-19%
Q4 2024$895.7M-12%

JELD's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $799M last quarter, down 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over JELD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JELD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: −$42MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$120MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$116MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: −$42MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$120MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$116MQ2 2026: −$25MQ3 2026: $16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$15.9M+$28.9M
Q2 2026-$24.8M-567%
Q1 2026-$116.3M+$3.9M
Q4 2025$3.4M+$27.3M
Q3 2025-$13.1M-$8.8M
Q2 2025$5.3M-64%
Q1 2025-$120.3M-$78M
Q4 2024-$23.9M-155%

JELD's free cash flow was −$122M over the past year, against −$152M the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over JELD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JELD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 85MQ2 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 86MQ3 2026: 87M
Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 85MQ2 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 86MQ2 2026: 86MQ3 2026: 87M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+370K shares
1 year+1.6%+1.4M shares
3 years+0.5%+405K shares
5 years-11%-11.1M shares
Available history-14%-14.7M shares

JELD has 87M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over JELD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JELD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 5.9xQ3 2024: 15.0xQ3 2026: 23.9x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 5.9xQ3 2024: 15.0xQ3 2026: 23.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202623.9xHigh
Q3 202415.0xHigh
Q2 20245.9xHigh
Q1 20244.2xHigh
Q4 20233.2xElevated
Q3 20233.1xElevated
Q2 20235.6xHigh
Q1 20235.8xHigh

JELD's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.2 years a year ago.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

JELD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.5Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

JELD's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

JELD PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricJELDSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

JELD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has the edge over JELD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JELD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.4130% below
20 week MA$1.6240% below
50 week MA$1.8547% below
100 week MA$3.6673% below
200 week MA$9.3990% below

JELD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over JELD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JELD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.3$24.2+3.7%
2021$24.2$25.5+5.4%
2022$25.5$9.64-62%
2023$9.64$18.9+96%
2024$18.9$8.21-57%
2025$8.21$2.46-70%
2026 YTD$2.46$0.98-60%

JELD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 60% so far in 2026.

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