CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has the edge over JBTM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

JBTM

JBT Marel Corporation

55
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

JBTM offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

JBTM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

JBTM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT has the edge over JBTM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JBTM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$41.41-67%
Forward14x$125—
Fair28x$104-17%
Current33x$125—
Expensive41x$153+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JBTM's PE is in its expensive range at 33x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

CAT has the edge over JBTM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

JBTM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect JBTM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JBTM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

JBTM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$163.17
Downside-17%$104.47

Calculated from the latest close: $125.17 on Nov 12.

JBTM trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

JBTM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $18.83Q1 2024: $18.74Q2 2024: $18.72Q3 2024: $5.39Q4 2024: $2.65Q1 2025: $-1.41Q2 2025: $-2.29Q3 2025: $-2.24Q4 2025: $-0.98Q1 2026: $3.23Q2 2026: $3.70Q3 2026: $3.78Forward: $9.08
Q4 2023: $18.83Q1 2024: $18.74Q2 2024: $18.72Q3 2024: $5.39Q4 2024: $2.65Q1 2025: $-1.41Q2 2025: $-2.29Q3 2025: $-2.24Q4 2025: $-0.98Q1 2026: $3.23Q2 2026: $3.70Q3 2026: $3.78Forward: $9.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.08+140%
Q3 2026$3.78+$6.02
Q2 2026$3.70+$5.99
Q1 2026$3.23+$4.64
Q4 2025-$0.98-137%
Q3 2025-$2.24-142%
Q2 2025-$2.29-112%
Q1 2025-$1.41-108%
Q4 2024$2.65-86%

JBTM has returned to profit: it earned $3.78 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

JBTM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $445MQ1 2024: $392MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $454MQ4 2024: $468MQ1 2025: $854MQ2 2025: $935MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $936MQ2 2026: $981MQ3 2026: $994M
Q4 2023: $445MQ1 2024: $392MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $454MQ4 2024: $468MQ1 2025: $854MQ2 2025: $935MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $936MQ2 2026: $981MQ3 2026: $994M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$994M-0.7%
Q2 2026$981M+4.9%
Q1 2026$936M+9.6%
Q4 2025$1B+116%
Q3 2025$1B+121%
Q2 2025$934.8M+132%
Q1 2025$854.1M+118%
Q4 2024$467.6M+5.2%

JBTM has the edge over CAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

JBTM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$30MQ1 2024: −$100,000Q2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $73M
Q4 2023: −$30MQ1 2024: −$100,000Q2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $119MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $73M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$73M+29%
Q2 2026$77M-8%
Q1 2026$93M+546%
Q4 2025$83.5M-30%
Q3 2025$56.5M-13%
Q2 2025$83.7M+654%
Q1 2025$14.4M+$14.5M
Q4 2024$118.7M+$149M

JBTM has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over JBTM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JBTM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 52M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 52MQ2 2025: 52MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 52M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-600K shares
1 year-1.3%-700K shares
3 years+61%+19.5M shares
5 years+61%+19.5M shares
Available history+61%+19.5M shares

JBTM has 52M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

JBTM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.6xVery low
Q2 20241.0xVery low
Q1 20240.9xVery low
Q4 20230.8xVery low
Q3 20231.2xHealthy
Q2 20234.1xHigh
Q1 20234.2xHigh

JBTM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

JBTM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.6Neutral
Stochastic51.7Neutral

JBTM's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT has the edge over JBTM on valuation relative to its sector.

JBTM PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricJBTMSector medianRelative
PE33x24x38% above
PE %735815 pts above

JBTM is trading at 33x earnings, a 38% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

JBTM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$112.711% above
20 week MA$120.73.7% above
50 week MA$133.26% below
100 week MA$130.03.7% below
200 week MA$117.07% above

JBTM has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over JBTM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JBTM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$114.8$117.8+2.6%
2021$117.8$153.0+30%
2022$153.0$89.2-42%
2023$89.2$99.5+11%
2024$99.5$128.4+29%
2025$128.4$155.1+21%
2026 YTD$155.1$125.2-19%

JBTM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

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