CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has a slight edge over JBHT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

JBHT

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JBHT has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

JBHT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

JBHT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

JBHT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x23x35x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x23x35x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$148-35%
Forward25x$228—
Fair28x$197-13%
Current32x$228—
Expensive33x$232+1.9%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JBHT has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JBHT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JBHT, with profitability improving.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JBHT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JBHT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$313.29
Downside-10%$203.76

Calculated from the latest close: $227.66 on Nov 12.

JBHT trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

JBHT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.97Q1 2024: $6.30Q2 2024: $5.81Q3 2024: $5.50Q4 2024: $5.56Q1 2025: $5.51Q2 2025: $5.50Q3 2025: $5.77Q4 2025: $6.12Q1 2026: $6.44Q2 2026: $7.04Q3 2026: $7.10Forward: $8.95
Q4 2023: $6.97Q1 2024: $6.30Q2 2024: $5.81Q3 2024: $5.50Q4 2024: $5.56Q1 2025: $5.51Q2 2025: $5.50Q3 2025: $5.77Q4 2025: $6.12Q1 2026: $6.44Q2 2026: $7.04Q3 2026: $7.10Forward: $8.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.95+26%
Q3 2026$7.10+23%
Q2 2026$7.04+28%
Q1 2026$6.44+17%
Q4 2025$6.12+10%
Q3 2025$5.77+4.9%
Q2 2025$5.50-5.3%
Q1 2025$5.51-13%
Q4 2024$5.56-20%

JBHT has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over JBHT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JBHT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+20%
Q2 2026$3.5B+19%
Q1 2026$3.1B+4.6%
Q4 2025$3.1B-1.6%
Q3 2025$3.1B-0.5%
Q2 2025$2.9B0%
Q1 2025$2.9B-0.8%
Q4 2024$3.1B-4.8%

JBHT's revenue is growing: $3.7B last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

JBHT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$89MQ1 2024: $263MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $93MQ1 2025: $158MQ2 2025: $186MQ3 2025: $352MQ4 2025: $251MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $253MQ3 2026: $219M
Q4 2023: −$89MQ1 2024: $263MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $93MQ1 2025: $158MQ2 2025: $186MQ3 2025: $352MQ4 2025: $251MQ1 2026: $243MQ2 2026: $253MQ3 2026: $219M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$219.1M-38%
Q2 2026$253.3M+37%
Q1 2026$242.8M+53%
Q4 2025$251.3M+169%
Q3 2025$352.4M+116%
Q2 2025$185.6M+89%
Q1 2025$158.4M-40%
Q4 2024$93.3M+$182.2M

JBHT has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has 461M diluted shares, down 2.1% from a year ago, with $8.1B in buybacks over the past year.

JBHT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 104MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 103MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 103MQ1 2025: 100MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 98MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 95M
Q4 2023: 104MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 103MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 103MQ1 2025: 100MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 97MQ4 2025: 98MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 95M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-297K shares
1 year-2.3%-2.2M shares
3 years-9.3%-9.7M shares
5 years-11%-11.8M shares
Available history-13%-13.7M shares

JBHT has the edge over CAT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has the edge over JBHT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JBHT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

JBHT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

JBHT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

JBHT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT has the edge over JBHT on valuation relative to its sector.

JBHT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricJBHTSector medianRelative
PE32x24x33% above
PE %785820 pts above

JBHT is trading at 32x earnings, a 33% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

JBHT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$226.30.6% above
20 week MA$254.511% below
50 week MA$239.55% below
100 week MA$195.616% above
200 week MA$188.521% above

JBHT has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

JBHT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$116.7$137.4+18%
2021$137.4$197.2+44%
2022$197.2$177.4-10%
2023$177.4$199.7+13%
2024$199.7$172.0-14%
2025$172.0$198.3+15%
2026 YTD$198.3$227.7+15%

JBHT has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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