CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over ITT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
ITT
ITT Inc.
ITT's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
ITT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
ITT's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT has the edge over ITT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ITT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 19x | $91.25 | -57% |
| Forward | 23x | $215 | — |
| Fair | 25x | $121 | -44% |
| Expensive | 42x | $204 | -5% |
| Current | 44x | $215 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ITT's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ITT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ITT, with profitability improving.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.73 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
ITT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.51 | +96% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.86 | -19% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.10 | -20% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.67 | -9.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.11 | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.02 | +2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.36 | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.29 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.30 | +27% |
ITT has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over ITT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ITT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +51% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $999.1M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $972.4M | +7.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $913M | +0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $929M | +12% |
ITT's revenue has grown year over year for 19 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | -2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | -5.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | -4.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | -0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | -5.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +2.9 points |
ITT's operating margin was 16% last quarter, down 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
ITT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $283.5M | +94% |
| Q2 2026 | $162.1M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.8M | -82% |
| Q4 2025 | $187.4M | +0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $146.2M | +67% |
| Q2 2025 | $137.3M | +2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $76.6M | +154% |
| Q4 2024 | $186.8M | +42% |
ITT has the edge over CAT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over ITT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
ITT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +15% | +11.4M shares |
| 3 years | +8.8% | +7.3M shares |
| 5 years | +4.1% | +3.5M shares |
| Available history | +1.4% | +1.2M shares |
ITT has 90M diluted shares, up 15% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $4.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $100M |
| Q4 2025 | $20.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $100,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $400.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $100M |
| Q4 2024 | $500,000 |
ITT spent $175M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 65% from the year before.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over ITT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ITT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
ITT's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ITT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.8 | Neutral |
ITT's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.1% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT has the edge over ITT on valuation relative to its sector.
ITT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ITT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 44x | 24x | 84% above |
| PE % | 87 | 58 | 29 pts above |
ITT is trading at 44x earnings, a 84% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
ITT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $202.6 | 5.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $202.2 | 6.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $196.7 | 9.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $176.3 | 22% above |
| 200 week MA | $145.6 | 47% above |
ITT has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
ITT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $74.0 | $76.5 | +3.4% |
| 2021 | $76.5 | $100.4 | +31% |
| 2022 | $100.4 | $80.0 | -20% |
| 2023 | $80.0 | $119.3 | +49% |
| 2024 | $119.3 | $143.5 | +20% |
| 2025 | $143.5 | $177.9 | +24% |
| 2026 YTD | $177.9 | $214.6 | +21% |
ITT has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.