CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.
HUBG
Hub Group, Inc.
There isn't enough reported data to score HUBG yet.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
HUBG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
HUBG's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
HUBG PE Valuation
HUBG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
CAT has the edge over HUBG on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
HUBG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong decline | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect HUBG's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 31% for CAT versus HUBG down 20%.
HUBG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.72 | -38% |
| Q1 2021 | $1.16 | -20% |
| Q4 2020 | $1.10 | -31% |
| Q3 2020 | $1.19 | -38% |
| Q2 2020 | $1.21 | -63% |
| Q1 2020 | $1.45 | -54% |
| Q4 2019 | $1.60 | -47% |
HUBG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.16 over the past year, against $3.23 in mid-2019.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 17% for CAT versus down 5.3% for HUBG.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT's operating margin was 20% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HUBG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $934.5M | -5.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $905.6M | -8.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $915.2M | -8.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $973.5M | -1.2% |
| Q3 2024 | $986.9M | -3.7% |
| Q2 2024 | $986.5M | -5.2% |
| Q1 2024 | $999.5M | -13% |
| Q4 2023 | $985M | -23% |
HUBG's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $934M last quarter, down 5.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 4.2% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.8% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.1% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q3 2024 | 3.3% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2024 | 4% | -2 points |
| Q1 2024 | 3.7% | -3.1 points |
| Q4 2023 | 3% | -5.1 points |
HUBG's operating margin was 4.2% last quarter, up 1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 39% versus its history, compared with HUBG at down 32%.
HUBG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $19.4M | -38% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2M | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $50.8M | -19% |
| Q4 2024 | -$7M | -111% |
| Q3 2024 | $31.4M | -49% |
| Q2 2024 | $56.2M | -40% |
| Q1 2024 | $63M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2023 | $65.1M | +41% |
HUBG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $113M over the past year.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over HUBG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
HUBG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -108K shares |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +126K shares |
HUBG has 67M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $13.8M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $35.3M |
| Q2 2024 | $7.2M |
| Q1 2024 | $25.8M |
| Q4 2023 | $26.4M |
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has more cash than debt.
HUBG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.4x | Very low |
HUBG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
HUBG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 28.8 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 3.3 | Oversold |
HUBG's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
HUBG PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | HUBG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
HUBG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has the edge over HUBG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HUBG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $26.7 | 8.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $36.3 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $39.7 | 38% below |
| 100 week MA | $38.4 | 36% below |
| 200 week MA | $40.4 | 40% below |
HUBG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has the edge over HUBG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HUBG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.8 | $28.3 | +9.6% |
| 2021 | $28.3 | $40.3 | +42% |
| 2022 | $40.3 | $41.1 | +1.9% |
| 2023 | $41.1 | $46.0 | +12% |
| 2024 | $46.0 | $44.2 | -3.8% |
| 2025 | $44.2 | $44.0 | -0.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $44.0 | $24.4 | -44% |
HUBG is down 44% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.