CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 18x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

HOVR

New Horizon Aircraft Ltd.

There isn't enough reported data to score HOVR yet.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

HOVR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

HOVR's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

HOVR PE Valuation

HOVR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HOVR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
--
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect HOVR's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and HOVR's risk to reward.

HOVR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $1.26 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CAT and HOVR's risk to reward.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the edge over HOVR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

HOVR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $0.27Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-0.69Q1 2026: $-0.68Q2 2026: $-0.54Q3 2026: $-0.38
Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $0.27Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-0.69Q1 2026: $-0.68Q2 2026: $-0.54Q3 2026: $-0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.38-2000%
Q2 2026-$0.54-550%
Q1 2026-$0.68-352%
Q4 2025-$0.69-$0.63

HOVR has swung to a loss: it lost $0.38 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $20.7B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOVR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

HOVR and CAT do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT generated $11.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

HOVR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: −$3MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: −$3MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.5M-$3.8M
Q2 2026-$3.4M-$1.6M
Q1 2026-$4.9M-$3M
Q2 2025-$1.8M+$35.2K
Q1 2025-$1.9M-$550.9K
Q4 2023-$1.4M-$1.4M
Q3 2023-$151K-$150.9K

HOVR has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$16M over the past year, against −$7M the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has the edge over HOVR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HOVR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 25MQ1 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+48%+21.3M shares
1 year+123%+36.2M shares
3 years+852%+58.7M shares

HOVR has 66M diluted shares, up 123% from a year ago.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

HOVR Net Leverage

HOVR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

HOVR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.4Neutral
Stochastic13.5Oversold

HOVR's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

HOVR PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricHOVRSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

HOVR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has stronger trend alignment. CAT is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus HOVR above 0 of 4.

HOVR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.4211% below
20 week MA$1.6423% below
50 week MA$1.8532% below
100 week MA$1.5921% below

HOVR is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 100-week average.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has the edge over HOVR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOVR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$5.72$1.42-75%
2025$1.42$1.56+9.9%
2026 YTD$1.56$1.26-19%

HOVR has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

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