CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has the edge over GFF overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
GFF
Griffon Corporation
GFF's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
GFF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
GFF's profitability is currently strong, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable, but its revenue is weak.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT has the edge over GFF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GFF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 14x | $55.41 | -47% |
| Fair | 17x | $69.08 | -34% |
| Forward | 17x | $105 | — |
| Current | 26x | $105 | — |
| Expensive | 53x | $211 | +101% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GFF's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
CAT has the edge over GFF on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
GFF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect GFF's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.73 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
GFF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.10 | +52% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.01 | +199% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.22 | -95% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.01 | -79% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.09 | -74% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.34 | -64% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.83 | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.90 | +260% |
| Q3 2024 | $4.23 | +198% |
GFF earned $4.01 per share over the past year, about three times what it earned the year before.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over GFF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT's operating margin was 20% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
GFF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $481.4M | -22% |
| Q1 2026 | $421.9M | -31% |
| Q4 2025 | $649.1M | +2.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $662.2M | +0.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $613.6M | -5.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $611.7M | -9.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $632.4M | -1.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $659.7M | +2.9% |
GFF's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $481M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 24% | +45 points |
| Q1 2026 | 21% | +4.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | -0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | -21% | -34 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +4.7 points |
| Q3 2024 | 17% | +4.5 points |
GFF has the edge over CAT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over GFF on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GFF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $93.5M | -18% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3M | -52% |
| Q4 2025 | $99.3M | -21% |
| Q3 2025 | $62.4M | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $114.4M | +6.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.8M | -87% |
| Q4 2024 | $125.5M | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $51.6M | -35% |
GFF still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $257M over the past year.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over GFF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
GFF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -542K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -172K shares |
| 3 years | -17% | -9.5M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -8.4M shares |
| Available history | +5.3% | +2.3M shares |
GFF has 45M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $54.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $34.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $30.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $21.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $40.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $72.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $49.1M |
| Q3 2024 | $68.4M |
GFF spent $141M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 39% from the year before.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over GFF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GFF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 5.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.3x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
GFF's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.6 years a year ago.
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
GFF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 70.1 | Neutral |
GFF's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.1% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT has the edge over GFF on valuation relative to its sector.
GFF PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | GFF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 24x | 8.8% above |
| PE % | 75 | 58 | 17 pts above |
GFF is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
GFF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.5 | 7.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $96.6 | 8.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $88.5 | 19% above |
| 100 week MA | $80.9 | 30% above |
| 200 week MA | $67.3 | 56% above |
GFF has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.
GFF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.9 | $18.9 | +0.1% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $26.9 | +42% |
| 2022 | $26.9 | $36.0 | +34% |
| 2023 | $36.0 | $61.0 | +69% |
| 2024 | $61.0 | $71.9 | +18% |
| 2025 | $71.9 | $75.6 | +5.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $75.6 | $104.8 | +39% |
GFF has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.