CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

66
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CAT has a slight edge over FLR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

FLR

Fluor Corporation

63
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

FLR offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

FLR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

FLR's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$380-37%
Fair18x$461-24%
Forward20x$605—
Current24x$605—
Expensive33x$840+39%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

FLR PE Valuation

FLR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FLR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FLR, with profitability improving.

CAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$918.83
Downside-11%$541.24

Calculated from the latest close: $605.28 on Nov 12.

CAT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FLR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FLR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$67.52
Downside-26%$36.50

Calculated from the latest close: $49.52 on Nov 12.

FLR trails CAT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CAT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
Q4 2023: $20.12Q1 2024: $22.13Q2 2024: $21.94Q3 2024: $21.55Q4 2024: $22.05Q1 2025: $20.50Q2 2025: $19.64Q3 2025: $19.46Q4 2025: $18.81Q1 2026: $20.08Q2 2026: $23.23Q3 2026: $25.48Forward: $30.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.32+19%
Q3 2026$25.48+31%
Q2 2026$23.23+18%
Q1 2026$20.08-2%
Q4 2025$18.81-15%
Q3 2025$19.46-9.7%
Q2 2025$19.64-10%
Q1 2025$20.50-7.4%
Q4 2024$22.05+9.6%

CAT has the edge over FLR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

FLR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.54Q1 2024: $1.70Q2 2024: $2.32Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $12.30Q1 2025: $10.54Q2 2025: $24.38Q3 2025: $19.77Q4 2025: $-0.31Q1 2026: $2.19Q2 2026: $-11.81Q3 2026: $-6.35Forward: $3.38
Q4 2023: $0.54Q1 2024: $1.70Q2 2024: $2.32Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $12.30Q1 2025: $10.54Q2 2025: $24.38Q3 2025: $19.77Q4 2025: $-0.31Q1 2026: $2.19Q2 2026: $-11.81Q3 2026: $-6.35Forward: $3.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.38—
Q3 2026-$6.35-132%
Q2 2026-$11.81-148%
Q1 2026$2.19-79%
Q4 2025-$0.31-103%
Q3 2025$19.77+1236%
Q2 2025$24.38+951%
Q1 2025$10.54+520%
Q4 2024$12.30+2178%

FLR has swung to a loss: it lost $6.35 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CAT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
Q4 2023: $17.1BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.7BQ3 2024: $16.1BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $14.2BQ2 2025: $16.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.1BQ1 2026: $17.4BQ2 2026: $20.5BQ3 2026: $20.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7B+17%
Q2 2026$20.5B+24%
Q1 2026$17.4B+22%
Q4 2025$19.1B+18%
Q3 2025$17.6B+9.5%
Q2 2025$16.6B-0.7%
Q1 2025$14.2B-9.8%
Q4 2024$16.2B-5%

CAT has the edge over FLR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

FLR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $4.2BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $4.2BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+10%
Q2 2026$4.3B+8.8%
Q1 2026$3.7B-8%
Q4 2025$4.2B-2%
Q3 2025$3.4B-18%
Q2 2025$4B-5.9%
Q1 2025$4B+6.6%
Q4 2024$4.3B+12%

FLR's revenue has held roughly level: $3.7B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

CAT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $3.1BQ4 2024: $2.7BQ1 2025: $579MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $3.8BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+19%
Q2 2026$3.8B+47%
Q1 2026$1.1B+97%
Q4 2025$2.7B+0.1%
Q3 2025$3.1B-1.5%
Q2 2025$2.6B-4.2%
Q1 2025$579M-63%
Q4 2024$2.7B-22%

CAT has the edge over FLR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

FLR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $273MQ1 2024: −$145MQ2 2024: $234MQ3 2024: $279MQ4 2024: $296MQ1 2025: −$297MQ2 2025: −$35MQ3 2025: $273MQ4 2025: −$378MQ1 2026: $99MQ2 2026: −$324MQ3 2026: $178M
Q4 2023: $273MQ1 2024: −$145MQ2 2024: $234MQ3 2024: $279MQ4 2024: $296MQ1 2025: −$297MQ2 2025: −$35MQ3 2025: $273MQ4 2025: −$378MQ1 2026: $99MQ2 2026: −$324MQ3 2026: $178M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$178M-35%
Q2 2026-$324M-$289M
Q1 2026$99M+$396M
Q4 2025-$378M-228%
Q3 2025$273M-2.2%
Q2 2025-$35M-115%
Q1 2025-$297M-$152M
Q4 2024$296M+8.4%

FLR's free cash flow was −$425M over the past year, against $237M the year before.

CAT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
Q4 2023: 514MQ1 2024: 497MQ2 2024: 490MQ3 2024: 487MQ4 2024: 489MQ1 2025: 477MQ2 2025: 472MQ3 2025: 471MQ4 2025: 472MQ1 2026: 466MQ2 2026: 463MQ3 2026: 461M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-2.1%-9.9M shares
3 years-10%-51.7M shares
5 years-16%-86.7M shares
Available history-19%-107M shares

CAT has 461M diluted shares, down 2.1% from a year ago, with $8.1B in buybacks over the past year.

FLR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 153MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 174MQ3 2024: 174MQ4 2024: 174MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 166MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 141MQ3 2026: 136M
Q4 2023: 153MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 174MQ3 2024: 174MQ4 2024: 174MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 166MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 141MQ3 2026: 136M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.5%-5M shares
1 year-16%-26M shares
3 years-7.5%-11M shares
5 years-3.8%-5.4M shares
Available history-2.9%-4.1M shares

FLR has the edge over CAT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CAT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CAT has more cash than debt.

FLR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -6.2xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -3.0xQ3 2024: -5.6xQ4 2024: -3.2xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -3.0xQ3 2026: -2.9x
Q4 2023: -6.2xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -3.0xQ3 2024: -5.6xQ4 2024: -3.2xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -3.0xQ3 2026: -2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-5.6xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-6.2xNet Cash

FLR has the edge over CAT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

FLR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.0Neutral
Stochastic31.6Neutral

FLR's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

CAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCATSector medianRelative
PE24x24x1.3% below
PE %695811 pts above

CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

FLR PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricFLRSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

FLR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$709.015% below
20 week MA$797.024% below
50 week MA$771.322% below
100 week MA$586.73.2% above
200 week MA$443.137% above

CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

FLR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$48.13% above
20 week MA$50.82.6% below
50 week MA$48.32.5% above
100 week MA$46.07.7% above
200 week MA$42.616% above

FLR has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.3$179.6+21%
2021$179.6$206.2+15%
2022$206.2$239.9+16%
2023$239.9$295.7+23%
2024$295.7$364.9+23%
2025$364.9$583.0+60%
2026 YTD$583.0$605.3+3.8%

CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.

FLR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.1$16.5-9.1%
2021$16.5$24.5+49%
2022$24.5$35.2+43%
2023$35.2$39.2+11%
2024$39.2$50.1+28%
2025$50.1$40.8-18%
2026 YTD$40.8$49.5+21%

FLR has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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